2012 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Advice & Analysis
 
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Long before July brings the yearly whirlwind trade speculation and months before the first crop of premier prospects debut in the ides of May, there is Opening Day, a date that clears the slate for last year’s underperformers, the injured, the belittled, and opens the door to another year. 

Don't forget to check out The Fantasy Fix 2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit!

With each new season begins the expectations and with each first pitch a city’s hope hinges. Opening week may not be enough of a sample size to convince even the most buoyant of fans that the remaining six months of the season will follow script, but baseball’s first week can serve as a harbinger of the summer to come.

Milwaukee’s headline move this summer was the acquisition of Zack Greinke, whose Cy Young credentials give the front of the Brewer’s rotation an anchor to navigate the mess of contenders that reside in the NL Central. The Brew Crew will make due without their newest star as Greinke recovers from a basketball induced rib injury, but Milwaukee’s early season pitching fate will rest on the shoulders of Shawn Marcum, an under-the-radar offseason addition who by season’s end will contend for the title of Brewers’ ace.

When Marcum takes the mound for Milwaukee this week he won’t be greeted with the same fanfare of incumbent star Yovani Gallardo or even newly proclaimed ace Zack Greinke but when the calendar turns to October one can be sure that Marcum will be named among one of the year’s best.

Projecting a season with less than 15 wins for Marcum would be a disappointment following his success in the offense heavy AL East. According to FanGraphs, Marcum’s 3.54 2011 ERA will boast markedly higher than his 2010 numbers which were a career best (13-8, 3.64).

It was 1999 the last time the Atlanta Braves had a power hitting second baseman and now newly acquired Dan Uggla will complete the right side of Atlanta’s infield next to rookie first baseman Freddie Freeman.

While Uggla has shown far greater power numbers than Atlanta’s last slugging second baseman Brett Boone, Uggla has struggled in recent years to impress with his batting average, a fault he will look to correct in 2011. A near guarantee entering 2011 will be Uggla’s power hitting, an attribute that should remain a strongpoint again this season. Turner Field has seen Uggla blast the most home runs of any ballpark (12) other than Sun Life Stadium in Florida.

The Braves’ lineup isn’t one that can afford a slow start from Uggla following the departure of established first baseman Derek Lee and sweet-swinging infielder Omar Infante. Uggla brings legitimate power potential to a team that will put runners on base with Martin Prado, Chipper Jones, Brian McCann, and young Jason Heyward who will place added emphasis on Uggla’s ability to hit low in the order and take advantage of plentiful RBI opportunities.

Like Uggla, the Angels’ Bobby Abreu will have numerous opportunities this April to prove he’s capable of playing a vital role at the plate. Unlike Uggla, Abreu is coming off of a disappointing 2010 season that saw the veteran right fielder dip in nearly every statistical category. It was 1997 when Abreu hit .250 or below, thus making his 2010 season one to forget after batting .255 through 573 at-bats.

The Angels find themselves in the precarious position of relying on the declining Abreu for significant contributions—a role that manager Mike Scioscia may need to address should Abreu struggle early. At 35, Abreu enters into possible further regression considering a recent decline in defensive range, factors which amount to making the Angels’ right field job one to keep a close eye on in April.

There isn’t much incentive these days for Kansas City Royals’ ticket holders to get excited considering the teams’ third starter is sojourning veteran lefty Bruce Chen. The season might as well begin sometime in late May when Royals’ star rookie Mike Moustakas hits the big league scene. The only lingering question is whether the 2007 first round draft pick will call third base home at the major league level.

Baseball America’s J.J. Cooper has doubts about the young Moustakas defensively as a debut date nears:

“Some scouts are skeptical that he can stay at third base because his hands are only adequate, his footwork is still raw and his body has thickened, costing him agility.”

The young California native has shown the ability to hit at every minor league level although the Royals have doubts about his batting eye which manifested a meager .297 OBP in 2009 at High A level Wilmington. It’s difficult to ignore what Cooper calls “obvious raw tools: his power and his arm” although at only 22, another year of minor league seasoning may not be out of the question.

Kansas City does figure to be in sell mode by early June and thus allow them the possible flexibility of shedding off spare parts that may block Moustakas’ progress as the Royals’ newest star. 


(February 23, 2011 - Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images North America)

Written exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com by Conor Gereg

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Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategy, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Auction Values, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Opening Day, Conor Gereg, Dan Uggla, Zach Greinke, Shaun Marcum, Jason Heyward, Bobby Abreu, Mike Moustakas
 
 
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The late winter air is ripe with optimism as spring training games commence under the warm southern sun and fans speculate the fates of their team’s stars. But often it’s not the stars who are the catalysts behind their team’s early season success but instead it’s the sleepers, the dark-horses, and unknown who catch the league by surprise. Here’s a glimpse at a handful of players poised to play the role of the unexpected and deliver in 2011. 

Don't forget to check out our 2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit

Tampa Bay may have lost some offensive pop with the departures of Carlos Pena (28 HR) and Carl Crawford (19 HR) but the Rays will look to newly appointed sparkplug
Ben Zobrist to compensate for these franchise pillars. Though it’s unlikely that this utility man will ever return to his 2009 level which saw Zobrist post a career-year performance (.297 AVG, 27 HR, 91 RBI, and 17 SB). 

Adding additional value to Zobrist’s stock is his exceptional athleticism which fostered a career high 24 stolen bases. Manager Joe Maddon should continue to post the green light for his swift footed middle infielder who was thrown out just three times in 2010 and considering Zobrist’s above average batting eye, Tampa Bay will have a reliable offensive threat.

Adam LaRoche will never have the glamour or flash of an Albert Pujols or Mark Teixeira but the veteran first baseman will do at least one thing well: Hit for power. LaRoche’s 25 big flies in 2010 was the fifth time in eight years that the 32-year-old surpassed the 20 homer threshold and considering the healthy supply of available plate appearances in Washington, LaRoche looks to be a lock to again post impressive power numbers. 

The lone caveat when analyzing the potential production from LaRoche is his notoriously slow starts. The owner of a .252 pre-All Star game average, LaRoche is a strong finisher whose .295 post-All Star average is a better indication of how valuable the sweet swinging lefty can be. 

Amidst an American league loaded with young, promising backstops, Tampa Bay’s John Jaso has presented himself as one of the most undervalued and patient catchers in the league today. At 27, Jaso isn’t a kid and won’t develop into an elite level catcher but he will provide the serviceable stats required to fend off competition for Tampa’s starting catching job. 

In just his first full season behind the dish for the Rays’, Jaso displayed a high level of patience (.372 OBP) while also giving himself a chance at the plate by drawing more walks than strikeouts (59 BB to 39 K). Should he attain 450-500 plate appearances as the Rays’ full-time catcher, Jaso could amass a lofty hit total (10/25 in April 2010) and rack up an impressive amount of walks. 

Entering a contract year, Mets’ Carlos Beltran will look to contribute from the middle of the New York lineup hitting behind Jose Reyes. After manning center field in Flushing since ’05, Beltran has asked for a move to right field to alleviate stress on his balky, surgically repaired knee which limited him to a mere 64 appearances in 2010. 

Beltran will be 34 this April and in order to cash in on another contract the veteran switch-hitter will need to return to his customary combination of power and speed (eight seasons of 20+ HR & 20+ SB). Breathing down his neck will be emerging prospect Fernando Martinez who owns many of the tools the Mets will look to build around. A slow start for Beltran (.281 career April AVG) will lead to a shorter leash and greater likelihood that young Martinez could replace the incumbent veteran. 

Written exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com by Conor Gereg

(February 20, 2009 - Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images North America)

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Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Baseball Draft, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, Team Previews, Fantasy Sports Blog, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Conor Gereg, Ben Zobrist, Adam LaRoche, John Jaso, Carlos Beltran