2012 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Advice & Analysis
 
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Sam Fuld
ON THE RISE

BARTOLO COLON (48.3% owned ESPN leagues) – Colon was hit hard last night by the Rangers but other than that start he has been amazing since taking over for injured Yankee pitcher Phil Hughes. Colon is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA. He is averaging a strike out per inning over his 37 innings pitched. What is even more impressive is that the 37-year old Colon's fastball is 95 mph once again. He has either found the fountain of youth or the Yankee pinstripes have rejuvenated him. I picked him up in several leagues. He has the potential to be a top 20 pitcher this year if he holds up. 

JUSTIN SMOAK (88.7% owned ESPN leagues) – Smoak is currently hitting over .300 with 5 home runs and 20+ RBI's for the Mariners. He is hitting .381 in his last seven games. Justin, the major piece in the Cliff Lee trade from last year is still only 69% owned in CBS leagues. Yes, the first base position is very deep but he is a useful fill in for Adam Dunn and other struggling first sackers at this time. Grab him and ride the hot hand.

MIKE AVILES (59.6% owned ESPN Leagues) – Aviles is one of the top most added players in CBS and ESPN leagues at this time. The second basemen continues to rake with a .269 batting average, 5 homers, 25 RBI's, eight stolen bases and a .852 OPS. He currently has scored more points in head to head leagues than fellow second basemen Dustin Pedroia, Martin Prado and Gordon Beckham. Hard to say if he will continue the great numbers but for the time being he is worth a shot. 

JASON BOURGEOIS (40.9% owned ESPN leagues) – Jason has 12 stolen bases in only 54 official AB's. He currently owns a .407 BA and a .954 OPS. In those 54 AB's he has only stuck out four times.With steady playing time he will be a huge addition to your team in steals, runs and OPS. It is unclear on how the Astro's will use Bourgeois now that Carlos Lee has returned, he qualifies as an OF but also got the start at second base last night. I think once the Astro's have fallen out of playoff contention they will move Lee and make Bourgeois the everyday out fielder. Grab him now! (Please note that Jason left last night's game with an oblique injury) watch his status closely. 

FALLING FAST

ADAM DUNN (99.7% owned ESPN leagues) – Dunn a favorite of mine and a potential 50+ home run with his move to the American League continues to struggle. He did have appendectomy surgery to start the season and maybe the change in leagues has affected his play. Right now he owns a .165 batting average and just three home runs. I expect him to get hot soon so keep and eye on your free agent/waiver wire. Two teams in leagues I play in have dropped him already. 

SAM FULD (59.5% owned ESPN leagues) – Fuld, the waiver wire darling of the early season, has started to come back to earth. In the last two weeks his batting average is .065 with no stolen bases. To make matters worse, the Rays have called up Brandon Guyer to play some left field which will eat into Fuld's playing time. Sam is currently the fourth highest dropped played in ESPN leagues. Can you say "flash in the pan". Drop him now. 

DEREK JETER (Owned in 99% ESPN leagues) – Never thought he would be on this list but it is becoming increasingly hard to watch Jeter struggle on a daily basis. Derek currently has a .256 batting average with no home runs or stolen bases. He has a paltry .597 OPS. To make matters worse he is hitting the ball on the ground more now than anytime in his career. Many are still holding on to him but realistically what can you expect out of him for the year? If you have better options drop him now before it is too late. 

MATT HARRISON  (21% owned in ESPN leagues) – Matt is being dropped like a rock after his strong early season 3-0 start. In his last four games he is 0-4 while allowing 16 runs in only 17 innings of work. In the last two weeks he owns a 10.97 ERA. Tommy Hunter is due back shortly so we may see a return to the bullpen for Mr. Harrison. It was fun while it lasted but hopefully he is long gone off your roster.



Written by John Marino exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com

Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix

or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!

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Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Sports Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Stock Market Watch, John Marino, Sam Fuld, Justin Smoak, Bartolo Colon, Derek Jeter, Mike Bourgeois, Derek Jeter, Matt Harrison, Adam Dunn, Mike Aviles
 
 
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Welcome to The Fantasy Fix's 2011 Stock Market Watch for Fantasy Baseball. Each week Tyler Becker will pick four players on the rise and four on the decline. Hopefully this list will make you stinking filthy rich!

On the Rise

Casey Blake - This week, Blake has stepped up his game and improved his batting average from .269 on April 16th to .333 today. In these seven days, Blake has 9 R/2 HR/7 RBI/.400 AVG, with his two homeruns coming in the past three days. Blake has typically been a decent utility option for deeper leagues during his career. Especially for a guy who could become eligible at several positions down the road (1B, 3B, OF), Blake is a solid option in leagues that do not use FAAB or allow several pick-ups per week. (5% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Mitch Moreland - Since game three of the season, Moreland has kept his batting average above .280, and now bats .315 with his latest hitting surge upon him. This past week, Moreland has hit two homeruns with six runs batted in, while scoring four times. His hot streak is possibly credited to Hamilton’s absence, and with (1B, OF) eligibility, Moreland is a waiver wire stud suitable for any team. (23% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Brandon McCarthy - One of the four remarkable starters for the A’s thus far has been 6-foot-7 Brandon McCarthy, who is proving his stuff each and every game. Despite going 0-1 in his last two starts, McCarthy has allowed one earned run (a solo homerun) in 14.2 innings pitched. Even more enticing is his 6.67 K/BB rate, ranked 5th in all of baseball. If McCarthy is available in your league, and you can be comfortable dropping someone in exchange, definitely go out there and get this strikeout honcho for your staff. (15% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Mitchell Boggs - The Cards apparently new closer position has seemed to be filled by Boggs. He has successfully closed two games since the firing of Ryan Franklin from his job as the St. Louis finisher too. For the beginning of the year, when Boggs was used as a setup guy, he had 12 K’s in just eight innings of work. However, he has only struck out one batter since being pegged the closer. Basically, you want saves out of your closer, and any extra strikeouts are a great bonus. For Boggs, as long as he gets batters out and closes games for big-man Tony La Russa, he should be added to your team. Hope to see his nice K/9 rate return as a closer too… unless you didn’t pick him and are facing him next week. (49% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Free Fallin’

Alex Rios - If you thought you were safe drafting a 90 R/20 HR/90 RBI/30 SB/.280 AVG hitter, think again. Rios has struggled the entire year, and is currently going through his worst week to date. This past week, Rios has gone hitless in 20 at bats, with six strikeouts and just two walks. On the year, he is batting .160 with no homeruns and has not batted a teammate in since April 8th. Rios owners should absolutely be concerned at this point. If you own him: sell for any talented guy with some security in him. Non-owners: stay away. (90% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Jimmy Rollins - Signs were looking good for J-Roll this year. He started the season off swiping some bags and getting on base regularly. Things have changed a bit over the past week or so for the Philly shortstop. Rollins’ batting average has fallen to .253 from .320 since April 14th. Also, he has only stole once in his past 13 games. His best skill is dwindling down, just like the number of Rollins owners. Some may look at his potential and start of 2011 as positive signs, but I see a waning fantasy shortstop unable to provide quality numbers. (98% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Mark Reynolds - Potential 2011 sleeper Mark Reynolds seems to be taking his title quite literally. He might as well be asleep at the plate, hitting well below the Mendoza Line and failing to reach base even. In his career, Reynolds was a guy that could get on base, even with his fatal batting averages. In 2011, though, Reynolds has a .268 OBP, and is already on pace for another year of disappointing owners. Before this season, Reynolds was decent at reaching base, maintaining at least a .320 OBP throughout his career. This season’s abysmal rate is just another sign for an unproductive Reynolds with his new club in Baltimore. (83% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Francisco Liriano - Coming off his 201 K year last season, Liriano was highly sought after by some fantasy enthusiasts. Lucky for their friends who avoided Mr. Liriano, he has been a complete disaster in four starts this season. Posting a 1-3 record and 7.40 ERA, Liriano has had control difficulties (14 BB in 20.2 IP) and an inability to go deep into the game (longest outing was a 6.1 inning victory against the Orioles). Liriano owners may remain optimistic, but even in his Baltimore outing Liriano walked five batters and only struck out two. It will be tough for Liriano to regain control and become a fantasy stud this year, so buyers should proceed with caution, and owners may want to begin to skim over your league’s trading block. (92% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

 
(April 9, 2011 - Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images North America) 

Written by Tyler Becker exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com

Follow Tyler on Twitter 
@fantasyprodigy for his fantasy baseball news and notes. 

Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter 
@thefantasyfix

or 
for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!

Fantasy Baseball
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Sports Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Stock Market Watch, Tyler Becker, Brandon McCarthy, Casey Blake, Mitch Moreland, Mitchell Boggs, Alex Rios, Jimmy Rollins, Mark Reynolds, Francisco Liriano
 
 
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Welcome to The Fantasy Fix's 2011 Stock Market Watch for Fantasy Baseball. Each week Tyler Becker will pick four players on the rise and four on the decline. Hopefully this list will make you stinking filthy rich!

On the Rise

Zach Britton (Baltimore Orioles, SP) 25.7% owned 

In first place in the American League East, the Orioles are feeling all warm and fuzzy with their new, young team. 23-year old Zach Britton has really shown everyone his best stuff after he was called up to start for the injured Brian Matusz. Britton has made two starts for the O’s this year, and now boasts a 2-0 record with a 0.66 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Yes, it is not just early in the year to predict the season he will have, but also early in his career. If Britton is available in your league, and your pitching staff is rather shallow, Britton could be a key guy to pick up some wins and give you quality innings pitched.


Ben Francisco (Philadelphia Phillies, RF) 54.3% owned 

The 6-2 Phillies have had an impressive 2011 offense thus far. The team’s 7.0 R/G (runs per game) average is first in all of baseball, and leading the pack is right fielder Ben Francsico. In eight games this year, Francisco has seven runs, two home runs, seven runs batted in, and a .333 average in 33 at bats. His strong finish in 2010 was a nice indicator as well, hitting five home runs in 40 Post-All Star break games (a pace of about 20 HR in 160 games). If your team could use a solid outfielder, go and grab Francisco from the waiver wire. With the rest of the Phillies’ potent offense, Francisco could continue his success for the remainder of the season.


Ike Davis (New York Mets, 1B) 98.3% owned 

While the Mets’ off-field issues still loom, The Amazins’ first baseman, Ike Davis, has had no problems hitting the ball. Davis is leading the Mets in RBI’s with nine so far, and is batting .345 in 29 at bats. Don’t expect his average to stay in the mid-.300 range, but you can expect his RBI total and high on base percentage to stay with him the entire year.


Matt Harrison (Texas Rangers, SP) 28% owned 

For the beginning of the 2011 season, the Texas Rangers have been nearly perfect, going 7-1 while scoring the third most runs per game (6.88) and recording the third best team ERA (2.79) in all of baseball. Matt Harrison is emerging as an absolute ace for the Rangers starting rotation. The lines for his first two starts are below, and quite impressive to say the least.

April 3 vs. Boston: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K
April 9 at Baltimore: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 8 K 
 

On the Decline


Casey McGehee (Milwaukee Brewers, 3B) 100% owned 

McGehee is off to a slow start, looking like anything but his 2010 self that hit 23 home runs and knocked in 104 runs. Currently, he is hovering the Mendoza line and has yet to clear the fences. Also, his sole run scored this year is basically a clear sign of another year with a low run total, mirroring his 58 runs in 2009 and 70 runs in 2010. McGehee is failing to get on base, get runners to score, and hit the long ball, and it could be a matter of time before he is deemed irrelevant in the 2011 fantasy season.


Ben Zobrist (Tampa Bay Rays, 2B/OF) 100% owned 

Disaster has struck in Tampa Bay as the Rays’ offense is in dead last, only scoring an average of 2.38 runs per game. Ben Zobrist, the Rays’ second baseman and utility man, is dealing with his own hitting problems as well. Hitting .167 with one home run and two RBI, Zobrist is continuing his year-to-year downward trend in 2011. His Post-All Star numbers could possibly have been a predictor for this season’s poor start, as he hit .177 with only five steals in 67 games. Coming into 2011, Zobrist was a top-10 second baseman, now, he is slowly becoming a burnt out fantasy option for all leagues.


Matt Garza (Chicago Cubs, SP) 100% owned

The good news, Garza has the most strikeouts in baseball. The bad news, he has yet to record a win and has a bloated ERA (5.68) and WHIP (1.82). The Cubby newcomer is struggling in his starts. Optimists look at his 6.67 K/BB ratio (20 K and 3 BB) and see a dominant arm on the mound, but realists can’t seem to ignore the fact that Garza has let up eight runs in just under 13 IP. If you are a Garza owner, ask yourself which side you fall on: the optimists, or the realists?


Max Scherzer (Detroit Tigers, SP) 100% owned

If you look at Scherzer’s record, you’ll see two wins in two starts. Take a closer look and you can see his 5.73 ERA and nine strikeouts. Similarly to Garza, Scherzer has only walked four batters, so control issues are not the immediate problem. He entered the year, however, with many fantasy owners eyeing him on draft day. As of now, these Scherzer-enthusiasts are not too pleased. Along with his next start against the red-hot Texas Rangers, Scherzer might have a difficult time rebounding after an unsuccessful start in 2011.

Percentages obtained from ESPN.com 

Written by
Tyler Becker exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com

Follow Tyler on Twitter @fantasyprodigy for his fantasy baseball news and notes. 

Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix

or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!


(March 6, 2011 - Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images North America)    

Fantasy Baseball
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Sports Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Stock Market Watch, Tyler Becker, Zach Britton, Ben Francisco, Ike Davis, Matt Harrison, Casey McGehee, Ben Zobrist, Matt Garza, Max Scherzer