![]() Matt Moore Matt Moore, LH SP Tampa Bay Moore and utter domination go hand in hand. The left-hander, who will turn 22 later in June, has added the AA Southern League to his list of victims. Through 11 game starts he's pitching to a 2.76 ERA, allowing just 43 hits in 58 2/3 innings of work. However, his mind boggling 82:16 K:BB ratio stands out above all else. He has posted massive K rates at every stop (208 last season), but his efficiency continues to improve as he gains much needed experience. He's allowed two runs or fewer in eight straight starts, and is pitching to a 1.05 ERA in the month of May (six starts). Moore features a mid-90's fastball with live arm action, a devastating sharp, late breaking curve and the makings of a plus change. Opposing hitters are yet to get a sniff of his 12-5 hammer. Inconsistent command has been the paramount knock on his top of the rotation potential, but he's quieting the doubters thus far in 2011. While still relatively raw with little experience at upper levels, Moore has the highest upside of the Rays many young arms. To nobody's surprise, he continues to zoom up the prospect rankings. Sky rockets in flight, afternoon delight. With that said, don't hold your breathe waiting for his ML debut. Brad Boxberger, RH RP Cincinnati The former USC product was converted from starter to reliever last season, and has excelled through his opening 25 innings. Boxberger, the 43rd overall selection in the 2009 draft, has been lights out in the pen working to a 1.44 ERA in 25 innings, allowing 13 hits and striking out 41 (15 K per nine innings). His peripheral statistics are ludicrous as well: right-handed hitters are batting .065 against him, and he's stranding an obscene 93.8% of base runners. To say he's working his way out of trouble spots would be slightly underselling his accomplishment. Despite the impressive numbers, spotty control is a legitimate concern going forward. He walked 41 men in 91 2/3 IP last year and has issued ten free passes during limited work in 2011. Boxberger makes his bread with a low 90's sinking fastball (can gear it up to 95-96), as his knuckle curve and change are both still in the refinement stage. He also utilizes deception to his advantage, turning his back to the hitter and hiding the ball effectively. Is he targeted for a late inning relief role? If so, he could contribute to the Reds cause this season with obvious low-end fantasy value. Will he be trade bait? Quite conceivably. One thing is for certain; he can't succeed multiple times through a lineup using his current allotment of secondary pitches. Randall Delgado, RH SP Atlanta The 6'3 200-pound Delgado is a seasoned 21-year old in his fifth minor league campaign. His numbers in AA are not overwhelming: 3.77 ERA, 57 hits in 59 innings and 54:24 K:BB ratio. His ten hit, ten run effort on May 24th didn't do his pitching line any favors. Nevertheless, he's taken major strides from his performance at the same level last season. In eight starts for Mississippi in 2010, over 43+ innings, he walked 20 batters and posted a 4.74 ERA. While his command is still left wanting on occasion, the enhanced polish on his stuff is apparent. An uptick in velocity has bolstered his already underrated repertoire, which also includes a lights out change and wicked curve. Delgado entered this year 16 games below .500 for his career, but the ground balls and lack of square contact litter the stat sheet. He continues to up the ante with constantly evolving power stuff, but control issues must be shored up. The hype machine is all about Teheran, but Delgado is sneakily close to contributing. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Matt Moore, Brad Boxberger, Randall Delgado 1 Comment ![]() Anthony Rizzo Anthony Rizzo, 1B San Diego Few players ever reach cult hero status in the minor leagues, but the 2008 non-hodgkins lymphoma survivor has accomplished just that. An integral piece in the trade that sent Adrian Gonzalez to Boston, Rizzo is currently making a mockery of the Pacific Coast League. Through 163 at bats he's hitting .368 with 14 doubles, 14 HR and 56 RBI. He's sporting a 1.165 OPS, batting .466 with runners in scoring position and has 13 HR in 133 AB against right-handed pitching. While the former sixth round selection showed glimpses in AA last season (.260/25/100), he's now operating in a whole different stratosphere. Rizzo shows good patience and plate discipline (21 BB), but does have a tendency to swing and miss (41 K in 41 games, 132 K last season). His .427 BABIP tells the tale: when he puts lumber on the ball, the result is pain for the pitcher. The 6'2 left-hander has quiet hands and explosive bat speed. Power potential is significant, with the approach to hit for a solid average as well. Whether he's ready for the show or not has yet to be determined, but there's nothing left for him to prove in AAA. The Padres little league roster is certainly not standing in his path. Rizzo will turn 22 in August. Word of caution: Petco Park is a far cry from the thin air in PCL ballparks. His Tucson club has scored 278 runs in 45 games. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B Arizona To steal a title from Faith No More, Goldschmidt has come "from out of nowhere". An 8th round pick out of Texas State in 2009, there were serious concerns over his bat speed, length of swing and ability to identify to breaking pitches. His numbers in the CAL last year were massive (.314, 42 doubles, 35 HR and 108 RBI), but his 162 strikeouts lent credence to the aforementioned flaws at the dish. Thus far in 2011, however, Goldschmidt has silenced even the harshest critics. In the AA Southern League he's tearing the cover off the baseball to the tune of .333, 15 HR and 43 RBI. More impressively, he's drawn 39 walks against only 28 strikeouts, an absolutely startling reversal of fortune from his past history. The Diamondbacks brass has openly taken notice of his improvements in a short time span, and stated that when/if he gets the call, he will play every day. With Xavier Nady, Russell Branyan and Juan Miranda failing to differentiate themselves at the big league level, the 23-year olds opportunity could arise sooner than expected. Brandon Allen, you say? Who's that? J.D. Martinez, OF Houston Martinez doesn't possess the "toolsy flash" of other top prospects, yet the 2009 20th round selection has done nothing but smoke line drives for 2+ seasons. The 23-year old hit .341 between the SAL and TEX leagues in 2010, notching 40 doubles, 18 HR and 89 RBI. It should be noted that most of his damage last year was compiled in low A, as in 50 Texas League games he hit just three HR and drove in 25 runs. Martinez has picked up in a similar vein in 2011, hitting .321 with 13 doubles and 31 RBI in 31 games, but the power is missing (3 HR). Lifting the baseball with authority is slightly out of his comfort zone, but no baseball person will complain about consistent solid contact. He's added 25 pounds since being drafted and certainly has the frame to develop power. Martinez is a beast with ducks on the pond, batting .424 in 33 AB with RISP (.241 bases empty). He's also displayed excellent composure in those situations, accepting eight walks and not pressing to be the run producer when being pitched around. He injured his right leg in early May and has struggled since returning (.259 overall this month). Martinez could hold his own in a major league batters box right now. His defensive aptitude in the outfield is another story.. James Darnell, 3B San Diego Hold on, another Padre bat? Is this the bizarro world? The former South Carolina product appears to be fulfilling the offensive promise that made him a second round selection in 2008. In his third full MiLB season (AA Texas League), Darnell is hitting .368, complemented by 15 two-base hits, nine homers and 35 RBI. His batting eye has been pristine at every stop with BB:K rates of 57:51, 87:89 and 49:68 the last three seasons. This year's ratio of 32:22 is just out of this world. There is little doubt that his approach and contact skills are big league caliber. Now 24-years of age, why isn't he further along in the process? 1. Defensive liability at the hot corner with glove and arm. A position change seems reasonable, but the Padres already moved Logan Forsythe from 3B to 2B. 2. Line drive central, but lacks the "leave the yard" pop of a traditional corner infielder. 3. Third base is one of the few positions on San Diego's roster that seems relatively set (Chase Headley). This situation will be intriguing to keep an eye on as the summer months gain momentum. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! (Photo by Andy Hayt/Getty Images) Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Anthony Rizzo, James Darnell, J.D. Martinez, Paul Goldschmidt _______________________________________________________________________ Click here to join this Friday's $1000 guaranteed giveaway. It costs just $5 per entry and you can have up to 3 entries. It's only open to the first 220 entries, but you can edit your lineups right up until 7pm est on Friday so register now to make sure you don't miss out. ![]() Shelby Miller Shelby Miller, RH SP St. Louis At 20 years of age, Miller is far and away the superior overall prospect in the Cardinals system. His fastball is an electric 94-96 with great life. He's throwing an inordinately high percentage of heaters at this stage, with refinement of 12-6 curve, change and overall command required. Despite his reliance on one (premium) offering, he's overmatched the Advanced A FSL allowing 31 hits in 40 innings while striking out a hefty 59 (140 in 104 1/3 IP last season at Low A). He's capable of utter dominance with his power arm, but raw attributes are quite evident. Miller's walk total of 40 is exorbitant, including a seven BB performance in 4 1/3 innings in late April. He must develop a reliable second (and third) pitch to keep hitters off balance and work his way out of trouble spots. He's failed to induce ground balls with regularity (0.57 GO/AO), but has allowed just nine HR in nearly 150 minor league innings. Miller has significant work to do before talk of the majors can be entertained, particularly in an organization cautious with young starters. However, he possesses legit ACE potential in his 6'3 195 pound frame. Anthony Ranaudo, RH SP Boston Following an injury plagued (elbow) junior season at LSU that cost him dramatically in 2010 draft positioning, Ranaudo is back on the uptick. The 6'7 mountain of a man, selected 39th overall as a supplemental selection, has regained the form that had him valued as top ten material just two short years ago. His repertoire includes a low-mid 90's fastball and polished, downer curveball, both bolstered by a deceptive delivery. To put it simply, he's an extremely uncomfortable at bat. In his first four starts at Low A SAL he allowed just a single earned run. He's ran into some trouble spots since, however, allowing six runs in 1 2/3 innings one start, and five runs in 2 2/3 in another. Those two starts aside, Ranaudo has been nearly untouchable. Overall he's pitching to a 3.86 ERA in 35 innings, allowing 26 hits and striking out 39 (15 BB). Fine-tuning his change up will prove critical as he makes his way up the food chain. He's all upside from here on out – with kinks to fix. Zach Lee, RH SP Los Angeles (NL) The Dodgers awarded Lee, 19, the biggest signing bonus in franchise history with a $5.25 million prize. The 28th selection in last year's draft was expected to be a two-sport star (football) in college, so it's no surprise that he's a well put together 6'4 190 with room for growth. He's already widely believed to be the organization's top prospect with three seasoned pitches: low 90's fastball (capable of gearing up higher), tight slider and change with great arm action. All have potential to be plus major league offerings. In addition, Lee is well ahead of schedule from a mound intellect angle. All of the above positive traits are reflected in his ridiculous numbers: 3-0, 1.17 ERA, 28 K in 30 2/3 IP and 1.14 GO/AO ratio. He's yet to allow more than one run in any of his six abbreviated starts. Lee suffered from elbow tightness following his last outing on May 5th, but tests came back negative. He's expected to miss 10-15 days. Barring setbacks (as he just suffered), he should move quickly through the system. Jake Odorizzi, RH SP Kansas City Another Royals young gun on the horizon in what seems like a never-ending chain of talent. Odorizzi was acquired from Milwaukee in the Zack Greinke deal, and has shown tremendous improvement in his third full MiLB campaign. He's taken the Advanced A Carolina League by storm, pitching to a 2.45 ERA while striking out 55 in 36 2/3 innings. The K is nothing out of the ordinary for Odorizzi who whiffed 135 in low A ball last season, but his opening seven starts in 2011 have been freakish. In addition, his command has been exceptional issuing only eight free passes. To nitpick a weakness, his frequency of balls hit in the air is on the high side (0.63 GO/AO). The 2008 first round picks work off a low-mid 90's fastball with free and easy arm action, a two-seam fastball and a sharp breaking curve. Like most young pitchers, his effectiveness (and comfort level) with the change is inconsistent at best. Odorizzi's name has started to catch fire on the minor league scene, and he's built himself into a widely agreed upon top 50 prospect. Still just 21, his ceiling is HIGH. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! (February 28, 2010 - Photo by Getty Images North America) _____________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you missed out on our recent free roll with DraftStreet, don't worry - we have another chance for you to take home some serious cash. Click here to join this Friday's $1000 giveaway. It costs just $5 per entry and you can have up to 3 entries. It's only open to the first 220 entries, but you can edit your lineups right up until 7pm est on Friday so register now to make sure you don't miss out. Even if the league doesn't fill up, DraftStreet will still give away the entire $1000 prize pool spread across the top 18 finishers, with the top score for the night guaranteed to take home $250. So, register for a free account at DraftStreet today and start practicing. Remember to use bonus code Fix on your first deposit to get some extra cash released into your account as you play. As a reminder, the competition will be an MLB Salary Cap league where values for each player are set based on projected fantasy value each day and your mission is to find the bargains and make the best 14 player team possible within the $100,000 budget. Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Shelby Miller, Anthony Ranaudo, Zach Lee, Jake Odorizzi 2011 MiLB Farm Report: Shortstop Special Edition - Jurickson Profar the Next Starlin Castro? 05/12/2011
Jurickson Profar, Texas Rangers Having just turned 18 in February, Profar is the youngest player in the SAL. The Curacao native and former Little League World Series star has drawn rave reviews for his baseball intelligence, confidence and maturity. In his first taste of professional ball last season in the short season Northwest League, he led the NOR with 19 doubles and drew 28 BB in 63 games. The Rangers brass thought highly enough of Profar to give him a window of opportunity in spring training, and he showed himself quite admirably. His early results in Advanced A SAL have been a mixed bag. The good: His solid approach has translated to the higher level of competition, drawing 13 walks in 73 AB. Eight of his 15 hits have gone for extra bases, including three HR. The bad: A switch-hitter, he's batting .353 in 17 AB against left-handed pitching, but only .161 in 56 AB versus righties. 19 clutch opportunities with runners in scoring position he has just two base knocks (.105 BA). Whether he'll ever grow into elite speed or power is questionable- think Starlin Castro mold with better strike zone IQ. Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles The number three overall selection in the 2010 amateur draft, Machado's build conjures up memories of the mid-90's breed of shortstop. Standing at 6'3 185, the 18-year old (19 in July) possesses unteachable baseball savvy, displaying his class on the Team USA U18 Championship squad in 2009. Machado has made an outstanding first impression through 25 games in the Class A South Atlantic League, batting .333 with five homers and 21 runs driven in. He's slugging .611 with an OPS of 1.062, and has drawn five more walks (19) than strikeouts. In fact, he's accepted a free pass in 17% of his plate appearances. Offensively, he's the full package: advanced approach well beyond his years, developing power and speed for his size. It's widely believed that a move to third base is within the realm of possibility once he fully matures. Machado is currently on the seven-day DL with a dislocated kneecap, but is expected to return shortly. Nick Franklin, Seattle Mariners The 20-year old shocked scouts with his burst of power in low A last season. Franklin, viewed as a contact bat out of high school (170 pounds), broke a 49-year old team record with 23 long balls. He also drove in 65 runs and swiped 25 bases, showing off the entire tool bag. Franklin has struggled with the promotion to advanced A early in 2011, hitting .237 with one HR and six RBI through 97 at bats. The switch-hitter has been anemic from the right side, hitting .182 against LHP (22 AB) after finishing at .174 last year. Essentially all of his pop has been flashed from the left side. To take the positive angle, he's already drawn a highly encouraging 20 walks against 20 whiffs. Last season he struck out 124 times against 51 BB. He takes a healthy rip leading to real concerns over contact, or lack thereof, but the numbers suggest he's beginning to find a middle ground. All in all, optimal projection of his development could pave the way for a fantasy beast. Billy Hamilton, Cincinnati Reds All evaluations of Hamilton (20) are based on long-range projections. Right now he is an ultra-RAW talent with eye popping, ludicrous speed. His wheels and basketball excellence in high school have opened the gates for Kenny Lofton comparisons. The 6'1 160 pound switch-hitter tore up the Pioneer League in 2010, hitting .318 with 13 doubles, 10 triples and 48 stolen bases in 69 games. Perhaps more importantly, he showed a knack for getting on base via walk with 28 (56 K). When he gets on, he's going to run. It's pretty much that simple. He has the cockiness that a great base stealer needs to excel. Hamilton has already snagged 23 bags in 29 games in 2011 (Midwest League), this despite only reaching base 35 times and batting .207. More ground balls and line drives, less strikeouts (33 in 111 AB) is the required recipe. He has the potential to be an electrifying leadoff man, but will he do it for another organization? He could be trade bait as the Reds attempt to land a premiere shortstop for this year i.e. Jose Reyes. *Hamilton has committed nine errors at short. Jiovanni Mier, Houston Astros The 2009 first round pick is finding newfound success in his second tour of duty in the SAL. After hitting .235 at this level last season, Mier is hitting .288 with a .413 on-base percentage in 28 games. He has nine doubles (31 last year) and has already surpassed last season's HR total with three bombs. He's displayed excellent patience (63 BB in 2010, 22 this year), but pitch recognition and discipline when behind in counts are both very much works in progress. His strikeout tally of 28 is exorbitant. The 20-year old continues to fill out physically and has all-field power aptitude in his 6'2 frame. With a secure glove and willingness to work deep into counts, Mier should be a quick riser when it all "clicks" in at the dish. He won't turn 21 until August. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! __________________________________________________________________________ The Fantasy Fix is sponsoring a free one-day fantasy baseball matchup on DraftStreet this Friday for $150 cash, with the top 4 places getting paid. Click here to sign up! __________________________________________________________________________ Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Manny Machado, Nick Franklin, Jurickson Profar, Billy Hamilton, Jiovanni Mier Charlie Furbush, LH SP Detroit At 25, Furbush is a grizzled veteran compared to most of the farm hands I've been profiling. However, despite his lower upside, he could provide immediate aid to the Tigers and fantasy squads (particularly Al-only) very shortly. One of the team's final spring training cuts, the lanky 6'5 left-hander was brilliant in his opening four starts, but he was roughed up badly last time out: 1 2/3 innings, four hits, three walks, seven runs (five earned), three HR allowed and struck out one. The gopher ball was a hindrance in 2010 as well, allowing 21 taters in 159 IP. That lone rough outing aside, he's still working to a 33:8 strikeout:walk ratio in 25 1/3 innings. He features a low-90's fastball, hard cutter, sharp slider and change, all bolstered by a deceptive delivery. Furbush is all arms and legs making it difficult to pick up his release point. Already on the 40-man roster, and with the Tigers struggling and in need of a shakeup, Furbush is certainly at the top of the minor league pecking order. *Missed 2008 in recovery from Tommy John surgery. Martin Perez, LH SP Texas The 2010 Martin Perez was hardly recognizable. Suffering from a brutal case of growing pains, he fell out of sync with his mechanics and lost all confidence on the mound. In 99 2/3 innings he allowed 117 hits and walked 50 batters, pitching to a 5.96 ERA in 23 starts. Turning the page to 2011, the recently turned 20-year old appears to have sorted out his issues and is back on the fast track. In AA for a second full season, he's working to a 2.74 ERA in 23 innings, allowing 18 hits, striking out 24 (10 BB) and pounding the bottom of the zone (2.00 GO/AO). Perez pitched a rain-shortened, five inning perfect game in his third start of the year. From a "stuff" perspective, his low-90's fastball (can reach mid-90's) has natural run away from right-handed hitters, his change has great sinking action and his curve has potential to be a plus PLUS pitch. Few scouts doubt his ace potential, but can his small build handle the rigors of a full season? He's drawn comparisons to Johan Santana with his stature, live fastball and change, but Santana never had a wipe-out breaking pitch. While the Rangers rotation seems set right now, if Perez continues his dominance come summer time he may force the organization's hand. He's still a baby though and likely a year away from contributing. Kyle Gibson, RH SP Minnesota The former Missouri standout is amongst the more refined pitching prospects in MiLB. In his second minor league season, he's already finding significant success in the International League. Gibson has been ultra-consistent since a rocky 2011 debut, posting a 27:4 K:BB ratio and 3.46 ERA, while holding right-handed hitters to a .188 batting average. His two-seam fastball is a ground ball inducing machine, notching 1.83 ground outs per air out in the early going, this after finishing with a 2.38 split last season. His slider and change are major league ready offerings. The reasons for optimism are plenty, but there are reasons for hesitation as well: 1. His delivery is mechanical, often landing on a stiff front leg. 2. Gibson's fastball velocity has seen dramatic fluctuations, working in the high 80's at times (compared to low-mid 90's). 3. He suffered a stress fracture in his forearm during his senior season at Mizzou, and there are elbow worries. The Twins are hesitant to start his service clock, but a June promotion seems like a strong possibility if he continues to cruise. Mike Montgomery, LH SP Kansas City The 2008 first round selection is thriving in his initial taste of AAA ball. Montgomery, who will turn 22 in July, has ideal size at 6'4 and a projectable pitcher's frame. The hitter friendly PCL has not impressed him through five starts: 27 IP, 20 hits, 23 strikeouts and 2.67 ERA. Command issues, which are not consistent with his past history, have been a bugaboo to begin the new campaign. After issuing 31 free passes in 93 innings last season, he's already walked 15 in 2011 (five per 9 innings). Nevertheless, Montgomery has fought the adversity with aplomb, displaying the mound IQ and calm demeanor that make him a future front of the rotation arm. Oh yeah, he's tough to hit too. He's capable of reaching back for 97 on his heater, but sits comfortably at 91-92, and his curveball and change-up are high quality. Montgomery used to throw a palmball, but ditched it as his comfort level with the change augmented. Given their small market standing, the Royals are definitely not anxious to start his clock, but they may need him to remain competitive. They have no fixtures in their starting five, specifically Jeff Francis throwing 83 MPH meatballs and Kyle Davis working to an eight ERA. One thing is for certain; this summer will be full of interesting decisions for the fans, and arduous decisions for the club. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Charlie Furbush,Mike Montgomery, Kyle Gibson, Martin Perez Brett Lawrie, 3B, Toronto The 21-year old has a major league ready bat right now. After leading the Southern League (AA Brewers) in hits last season, he's opened up the PCL campaign with a .421 batting average, four homers, seven doubles and 12 RBI. He's struck out 18 times in 76 plate appearances, but his BABIP is a ridiculous .519. When he puts bat on ball, authoritative contact is the result. Lawrie has speed to match his power (.697 SLG%), swiping 30 bags in 2010 and already five (zero CS) early in 2011. So why isn't he in the show? He's undergoing his third position change, from C to 2B to 3B, and is struggling mightily with the final transition. In 16 games Lawrie has committed six errors. Despite injuries to Aaron Hill, Jayson Nix and Edwin Encarnacion, the Blue Jays vow to remain patient with their premiere offensive prospect. Jesus Montero, C, New York AL Continuing on the theme of defensive questions preventing a promotion, sample B. Entering his fifth minor league season, Montero doesn't have much left to prove with the stick. In his first AAA season he posted a .289/21/75 line, displaying the approach and power that make him a consensus top 20 prospect. Through 59 AB in '11 he's batting .407, but has yet to accept a walk and has one hit in 12 at bats with runners in scoring position (.083). Nevertheless, offensive concerns are few and far between. His behind the plate responsibilities and agility at 6'3 235, however, have left the Yankees wanting. The presence Russell Martin in the majors, as well as Austin Romine (AA) and Gary Sanchez (A) in the lower rungs of the system, would logically make it easier to part ways for an ace-quality arm. For almost any another franchise he'd be gaining big league experience. Montero's recent groin MRI came back negative. Desmond Jennings, CF, Tampa Bay The Rays shocked the baseball universe when they chose not to recall the 24-year old Jennings following the retirement of Manny Ramirez. Perhaps they are milking Sam Fuld (.346) for all he's worth before making the move? In any event, it's hard to fathom that the perennial uber-prospect is back with Durham for a third full season. He's batting .261 in the opening 19 games with two homers, seven run batted in and six stolen bases against zero CS. Renowned for contact and low K rates, he's whiffed 15 times in 69 AB, but has still drawn 13 walks. Jennings brings efficient speed to the base paths, swiping 37 bags in 2010 while getting caught just four times, and successful on a perfect six for six in 2011. At the plate he has a natural opposite field stroke, staying within himself, and the size to continue development of power. He struggled in 21 AB last September (.190), but hardly appeared overmatched (four K). It has to be only a matter of time until he makes his extended arrival. Doesn't it…? Jennings must shake the injury bug that has plagued him relentlessly. Mike Moustakas, 3B Kansas City Surely disappointed that he didn't crack the opening day roster, the "Moose" is off to a slow start (for his standard) in the PCL. The 2007 #2 overall selection is sitting at .225 with a modest .352 SLG% and hefty 19% K rate. Albeit, the RISP-hitting machine is once again making his bread with ducks on the ponds, going 8/18 (.444) in clutch situations. Even while struggling, he still leaves his imprint on the result. For the sake of rehashing, his composite numbers between AA/AAA last year were "off the chain": 41 doubles, 36 HR, 124 RBI while striking out just 67 times in 484 AB. He's ready to contribute at the highest level (on both sides of the ball), but the Royals are taking the cautious approach; especially now that they're winning ball games in the early going. With Wilson Betemit and Mike Aviles standing in his path, keep an eye out for Moustakas when summer hits and KC begins to fade. *The top prospects are in the AL, folks. Coincidence is all. (February 19, 2011 - Above Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images North America) Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Brett Lawrie, Jesus Montero, Desmond Jennings, Mike Moustakas ![]() Drew Pomeranz BATTERS Yasmani Grandal, C, Cincinnati Reds The 22-year old backstop has shown massive maturity in a short time frame. With his offensive skills thoroughly under the microscope, Grandal hit .428 and 13 homers during his junior season at Miami, soaring up draft boards to the #12 spot in the 2010 amateur draft. A switch hitter (superior left side) with an ideal physical profile, he possesses a rare combination of power and patience at the catcher spot. Through nine games in 2011 he's batting .313 with three HR, seven RBI and an OPS of 1.155. With fellow top catching prospect Devin Mesoraco at AAA, the Reds can afford to be patient with Grandal. This is his first full season in the professional ranks after playing just eight games in Rookie ball last year. Jean Segura, MI, Los Angeles Angels While still a raw product, Segura has potential to develop the full offensive package. Recently turning 21, he's drawn comparisons to current Angel Howie Kendrick with his propensity to use the opposite field and make square contact. He displayed power development in 2010, hitting ten homers and driving in 79 runs, while still only striking out 14% of the time (45 BB). Seguar's a legit energizer bunny on the bases, stealing 50 bases last season and already with six in 2011. His early '11 stat line reads: .416, six RBI, four doubles, two triples, 29 total bases and eight knocks in 14 AB with runners in scoring position. The Angels have shifted him from second base to shortstop, which should lead to a quicker route to the show. Jay Austin, CF, Houston Astros Austin is off to a rocking start in his second season in the CAL. The 2008 second round selection is batting .392 through 51 plate appearances, jacking two homers, driving in seven, swiping seven bags and drawing eight BB against nine K. Speed and athleticism are his meal tickets, stealing 54 bases last season (20 CS) and legging out 13 triples. Austin has shown some pop with ten homers and 25 two-base hits, but the Astros prefer he keep the ball on the ground and utilize his wheels. He hit .323 when putting the ball in play in 2010, but struck out 126 times. With a few alterations to his approach, he likely projects as a future leadoff hitter. Still only 20 years of age, his ML window is multiple years away. Best left for dynasty owners. Bobby Borchering, 3B, Arizona Diamondbacks The 6'3 switch hitter looks like a natural at the dish. Borchering has lightning quick hands, raw power (particularly from the left side) and the tools to hit for high average from both sides of the plate. Last season in the Midwest League (A) he finished with an impressive stat line: .270 BA, 15 HR, 31 doubles and 74 RBI. However, his 128-strikeout total was worrisome, and appears to have carried over into 2011. In 43 at bats this season he's hitting just .186 with 14 K (2 BB), but continues to flash pop with two dingers and eight RBI. Despite his early struggles, there is little questioning Borchering's upside with the stick. His lack of a true position is a very real obstacle inhibiting his ascent to the majors. PITCHERS Tyler Matzek, SP, Colorado Rockies Matzek, the Rockies 2009 first round selection (11th overall), entered pro ball with a reputation as a seasoned arm with four above average offerings. He throws a low 90's fastball, curve, slider and change. Command of his fastball has been startlingly poor through 20 minor league starts. He issued 62 BB in 89 1/3 innings last season and already eight through two minimal pitch efforts in 2011. Matzek has a tendency to miss up in the zone, which accounts for his poor GO/AO splits (0.90). The negative aside, one thing is one for certain- he doesn't get hit. He issued the same number of hits as walks (62), and his .259 BABIP and 81.1% LOB are freakish. The Rockies are gradually building up the 20-year old, pitching him just 6 1/3 innings in his opening two starts. The left-hander has consensus top of the rotation potential. Zack Wheeler, SP, San Francisco Giants Apparently Wheeler didn't think much of CAL competition in his first start, throwing five innings of no-hit ball. He possesses the devastating duo of a power arm and fluid delivery, resulting in effortless mid-90's gas. His 2010 SAL pitching line was quite interesting, striking out 70 in 58 2/3 IP and inducing 2.68 ground outs per air out, yet "touched up" for a 3.99 ERA; the likely culprit? Wheeler was dealt his dose of bad fortune, allowing a .320 BABIP. Early in 2011 he seems intent on taking matters into his own hands, giving up one hit in 22 AB against right-handed hitters (.045 BAA). Wheeler will turn 21 in May and has the look of a quick riser with refinement of secondary pitches required. Drew Pomeranz, SP, Cleveland Indians The imposing 6'5 southpaw was the fifth overall selection in last year's amateur draft. The former Mississippi Rebel boasts refined mound skills, a low to mid 90's fastball and power slurve. Pomeranz earned CAR Pitcher of the Week for the week of 4/18 and has been absolutely untouchable in his first two starts. In 11 innings pitched he's allowed three hits, zero ER and struck out 17 while walking just two. Now that my friends is what they call "playstation numbers". To say he's not long for this level would be the understatement of the century. The 22-year old is expected to take the express route through the Indians system. Jarred Cosart, SP, Philadelphia Phillies Once upon a time in 2008, Cosart was a 38th round choice by the Phillies. Three short years later, despite an injury-plagued journey, he's one of the "sneakiest" pitching prospects in the game. Cosart's made his hay predominantly with one pitch; a fastball that SITS in the mid-90's with tremendous hard sink. In 71 innings in the SAL last year he generated a 2.02 GO/AO rate, and through 17 innings in 2011 in the FSL that ratio remains in tact at 2.08. He allowed just three homers all of last season, and K'd 77 batters without a consistent breaking pitch. His strikeouts are down in the early going (11 K) but it hasn't diminished his success (2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP). Keep in mind he was sidelined from June forward in 2010 and has a history arm/elbow troubles. Including Shelby Miller in this level almost feels comical, so I'll save him for later. After striking out 140 in 104 1/3 innings last season in regular A, he's struck out 20 batters in 10 2/3 IP to open the FSL campaign (2 BB, 1.69 ERA). Top of the line. (February 21, 2011 - Photo by Rob Tringali/Getty Images North America) Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Yasmani Grandal, Jean Segura, Jay Austin, Bobby Borchering, Tyler Matzek, Zack Wheeler, Drew Pomeranz, Jarred Cosart, Shelby Miller ![]() Alex Torres Alex Torres, SP Tampa Bay A key piece in the deal that sent Scott Kazmir out west, Torres is often overshadowed by the bevy of arms in the Rays system. He possesses anything but the traditional pitchers frame at 5'10, 175, but a live arm and successful results will cover up deficiencies in stature. Torres struck out 150 batters in 142 2/3 innings last season in the Southern League, and whiffed nine during his five-inning AAA debut in 2011. His propensity for inducing ground balls is also encouraging (1.64), using his sinking change-up effectively to neutralize right-handed bats. Control issues (70 BB) must be addressed for the 23-year old before rationalizing the ultimate step up in class. He's probably best left for dynasty formats. Julio Teheran, SP Atlanta Still only 20-years of age, Teheran's reputation already precedes him. In addition to his overpowering fastball, hard breaking curve and supreme mound presence, he's added substantial bulk to his frame (up to 175 pounds) and has worked hard to tighten his mechanics. Julio has pitched to a 2.59 ERA between three levels in 2010, allowing 108 hits in 142 2/3 innings and while striking out 159 (40 BB). Teheran was dominant in his first International League start of the new campaign, surrendering one run and two hits in 5 2/3 innings. As he continues to get stronger and work deeper into games, he'll be in the Braves rotation (possibly in '11). Jarrod Parker, SP Arizona The prized jewel of the Diamondbacks system is back on the mound following Tommy John surgery. Making his first start in 20 months (AA), Parker showed his rust getting bombed for six hits and seven earned runs in 3 2/3 innings, walking three and striking out five. The arm strength was apparent reaching back for 94 MPH heat (90-94), but his stuff was obviously anything but crisp. As expected, recapturing his rhythm, feel for breaking pitches and comfort level on the hill will be a process, but the ace potential remains. Expect big things in short order from the power right-hander. Working his way back into game shape is the only hurdle between Parker and the majors. Simon Castro, SP San Diego Castro had a strong '10 season finishing with a 3.28 ERA and allowing 123 hits in 140 innings of work, but his 113-strikeout total was disconcerting. While his sinking fastball is the staple of his arsenal, velocity readings have varied from scout to scout. Does he sit in the low 90's or mid 90's? His slider is also a classy offering, but more a contact pitch than an out pitch. He hides the ball well with an awkward swinging gate delivery, but perhaps the mystery is wearing off. His opening pitching line was rough on the retinas: 4 IP, 9 hits, 8 runs and 3 walks against 2 strikeouts. It's still widely believed that Castro (23) will contribute to the Padres this season, albeit, he's not off to an inspiring start. Brett Jackson, CF Chicago Cubs The "toolsy" Jackson is off to a flying start in 2011. In his first five games he's batting .421 with a homer, six runs batted in, seven runs and two stolen bases. After drawing 73 BB last season, he's already accepted five free passes in 19 official plate appearances. His exorbitant strikeout total (123 in '10) would be more worrisome if he didn't show adroit plate discipline. Jackson doesn't possess any singular "knock your socks off" skill, but his combination of developing power (12 HR) and speed (30 SB in 41 attempts) is plenty intriguing. Depending on the Cubs positioning in the standings come July, he could earn himself a promotion. Tim Wheeler, CF Colorado At 6'4 205, Wheeler more than looks the part of a dynamic, long striding outfielder. He finished last season with a lowly slugging percentage of .394, but appears a new man in '11. He's hitting .444 with three HR and nine RBI through fives games, including a two-dinger game on Monday. Wheeler's also drawn four walks against two strikeouts and continues to flash speed with two swipes (22 last year). He has an aesthetically pleasing swing, a good approach and when he learns to fully utilize leverage the power will come consistently. The third-year player from Sacramento State is floating under the radar, for now. Dee Gordon, SS Los Angeles Dodgers With Rafael Furcal on the shelf and contemplating retirement, a spot has opened up for the 23-year old speedster. Gordon led the Puerto Rican Winter League with a .361 BA spraying line drives all over the diamond. With that said, he drew only five walks in 33 games, and has struck out ten times against a single walk to open the PCL season. Plate discipline is still work a progress, but he does not fit the mold as a swing and miss type (90 & 89 K last two). Weighing in at a rail thin 150 pounds, his slugging percentages are miniscule. What he does bring is overwhelming, game changing speed on the bases, stealing five bags (zero CS) in the first six games of 2011. Gordon is still raw, but it's hard to believe the presence of Ivan De Jesus Jr. will keep him in AAA. Dustin Ackley, 2B Seattle The second overall selection in 2009 has a major league ready approach, but the production results are lacking. His 75:79 BB:K ratio between AA and AAA last season was staggering, and demonstrates his natural IQ in the batter's box. But for an all-fields hitter with only occasional pop, his .267 average was far below expectations (keep in mind he was undertaking a position change). Ackley is playing a similar tune early in '11, with four hits in his first 24 at bats (zero RBI) and drawing five BB. It's certainly not cause for panic, but just how high is his ceiling? The former UNC product could step up to the majors today and put forth a quality AB, and maybe that challenge is exactly what he needs. The Mariners middle infield is aging and lacking talent, so he should get his opportunity sooner rather than later. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team! Tags: The Fantasy Fix, 2011 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Advice, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MiLB, The Farm Report, AA, AAA, Adam Ganeles, Alex Torres, Jarrod Parker, Julio Teheran, Simon Castro, Brett Jackson, Tim Wheeler, Dee Gordon, Dustin Ackley, August 2010 Farm Report: AA Analysis 08/18/2010
![]() Jason Kipnis BATTERS Beau Mills, 1B Cleveland AA Line - .231, 8 HR, 61 RBI The number 13 overall selection in the 2007 draft has regressed badly in his second season at AA. Mills, 24, hit .293 with 21 homers and 90 runs driven in at the same level in '09, drastically ahead of his current pace. He's hitting an inferior .189 in August, marking his third sub-.200 month. He also posted a .169 April and .162 June. The left-handed swinging Mills has faced significant struggles against southpaws, batting .203 with only seven extra base hits (one HR) and a 7:25 BB:K ratio. The above splits are staggering coming from a line drive hitter with a professional approach. Outside of a .320, five HR, 23 RBI July, he's been downright disappointing. Jason Kipnis, 2B Cleveland AA Line - .339, 9 HR, 34 RBI Mills' teammate in Akron has confronted no such challenges. Kipnis has been nothing short of sensational since being promoted from the Advanced A Carolina League. His Eastern League numbers are dwarfing his CAR production, raising his batting average .39 points and OPS over .100 points. He's batting .377 in August with three HR and 13 RBI. He's an impossible out with runners in scoring position, hitting .417 with a 1.226 OPS. Kipnis has yet to display a weakness at the plate through two minor league seasons and continues to raise the bar at each level of competition. He's on the fast track to the show, especially as his power continues to develop. Devin Mesoraco, C Cincinnati AA Line - .294, 13 HR, 31 RBI Mesoraco is the portrait of growth as a ball player in a short period of time. A year ago he was sputtering in the Florida State League, hitting .228 with limited pop. In 99 games between Advanced A and AA ball in 2010, he has quickly turned the corner. He's batting .313 with 23 HR and 62 RBI, with an OPS .300 points higher than last season. Mesoraco is torturing left-handed pitching with a .365 BA and five HR in 52 plate appearances. His weaknesses have been spotlighted with ducks on the pond, hitting just .204 with RISP, a figure that he will need to elevate with experience. It's time to take notice that Mesoraco is a legitimate catching prospect. Adam Loewen, OF Toronto AA Line - .254, 12 HR, 62 RBI Questioning Loewen's athletic prowess would be an exercise in futility. The former number four pick in the 2002 draft had his pitching career ripped away by arm injuries, but his future as a position player appears filled with promise. In his second minor league campaign as a full-time outfielder, the 26-year-old has made massive strides, adding .18 points to his batting average, eight HR and 31 RBI from last season's final totals in Advanced A. He's been wearing out the gaps, hitting 22 doubles in '09 and 27 this season. As expected, he's still quite raw at the dish. His strike out total is an exorbitant 119 and his .237 BA against LHP is a work in progress. But Loewen's batting eye and plate discipline give him a solid foundation to work with, already drawing 53 BB. Oh yeah, he's got wheels too, swiping 14 bags. Can you say a more talented Rick Ankiel? ![]() Jeremy Jeffress PITCHERS Chris Archer, RH SP Chicago Cubs AA Line - 7-1, 1.26, 49 K And to think Archer's numbers in the FSL looked impressive. Holy moly! His performance through nine AA starts has been, in a word, FREAKISH. Apparently the step up in class hasn't rattled his cage. I know his ERA is tough to see, but it's there somewhere. He's allowed 32 hits in 50 innings of work for a .185 batting average against, and his groundout to air out ratio is 1.66. The one chink in his armor has been command, walking a whopping 32. When you're that tough to square up, just throw strikes. Nevertheless, despite putting base runners on, he's done a superb job pitching out of trouble. Archer was stuck on the lower levels for four years, but is still only 21 and it's coming together fast. His fastball sits in the low-mid 90's and his sharp curve is "the pitch". The Cubs acquired Archer from the Indians as part of the package for Mark DeRosa in '08. Deolis Guerra, RH SP Minnesota AA Line - 2-9, 5.99 ERA, 61 K Guerra's pitching line is not a misprint. The once highly touted Mets farmhand, and centerpiece of the Johan Santana deal, has fallen on rough times. After a mediocre at best '09 season in AA, the Twins moved him up to AAA for the start of '10. He did not reward the team's faith in him, getting hammered in four starts to the tune of a 6.84 ERA and .337 BAA. The demotion has not aided matters, as he seems flat out lost at sea right now. Opponents in AA are once again hitting over .300 against him and he's surrendered 114 hits in 94 2/3 innings. His lack of confidence is readily apparent in RISP situations, where batters are hitting .364. Escaping trouble is not his forte. Unfortunately, the positive signs are few and far between. The best news of all is he's only 21, but a young pitcher can only take so much battering. Jeremy Jeffress, RH SP/RP Milwaukee AA Line - 1-0, 0.00 ERA, 9 K After serving a 100 game suspension for failing a second drug test, Jeffress is back pitching in the minors, and back with a bang. During his first stop in the Midwest League (A) he pitched eight hitless innings, striking out 14 in the process. He faced some adversity during his eight game stretch in the FSL finishing with a 5.40 ERA, but once again whiffed 14 batters in 10 innings. Through nine innings of work in the Southern League he's yet to surrender a run, allowing four hits and striking out nine. There was never any denying his talent or rare power arm (upwards of 100 MPH), but his head has always held him back. Has Jeffress turned the page, or is another blip waiting right around the corner? For baseball's sake, let's hope he's focused on pitching. He's a special one and can be a real quick riser. Recent Promotions to AA: Danny Espinosa 2B Washington, Xavier Avery OF Baltimore, Julio Teheran SP Atlanta and Randall Delgado SP Atlanta. Written by Adam Ganeles exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. Check back weekly for Adam's insight into Major & Minor League Baseball. After his 100 game suspension, what is your opinion on Jeremy Jeffress? Leave a comment and let us know, or reply to us on twitter @TheFantasyFix Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Sports Blog, Minor League Baseball, Double-A, AA, Fantasy Baseball, MiLB, Jeremy Jeffress, Deolis Guerra, Chris Archer, Adam Loewen, Devin Mesoraco, Beau Mills, Jason Kipnis, Adam Ganeles |