 Eric Decker (credits below) It's what you say when your buddy tells you that he snagged Eric Decker off the waiver wire. Eric Decker. Sounds like the name of a bully you used to know in sixth grade. No, Decker isn't cornering spelling champions so he can score lunch money. He is, however, bullish on fantasy points. Where did Decker come from? That's what the Gold Mine is all about... digging up the goods on no-namers that put up big fantasy numbers one week. To be clear, this is not a recommendation for future play. Gold Mine is a get-to-know you rather than a starting lineup consulting firm.
Eric Decker, WR, Denver Broncos: 5 catches, 133 yards, 2 TD
Decker is a graduate of Rocori High School a few miles outside of St. Cloud, Minnesota. He attended University of Minnesota and, after two years, became one of the best receivers in the nation. In his junior year, Decker had 84 catches for 1074 yards and 7 TD's in 12 games. In 2010, he started on a tear. The 6'3", 218 pound pass catcher hauled in 50 catches for 758 yards and 5 TD's in only 8 games. Unfortunately, he sprained his foot and didn't play another game. The Broncos drafted Decker in the 3rd round of the 2010 NFL Draft. He was picked just after the Bengal's Jordan Shipley and one pick before Tampa Bay's Dezmon Briscoe.
Projection:
Decker is no stranger to racking up yards and touchdowns. Like Bills wideout Stevie Johnson, he already had a prolific college season under his belt, and while he may not have started the season on anyone's radar, he has the potential to end up on most rosters by the end of the season. With two games against the Chiefs remaining on the Broncos' schedule, he may be a good play.(January 1, 2011 - Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images North America)Written by James Duren exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com.
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DO YOU THINK DECKER IS WORTH A PICKUP FOR YOUR ROSTER? WHAT IS YOUR PROJECTION?
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Football Advice, Fantasy Football Blog, Fantasy Sports Blog, Fantasy Football Gold, Week 2, James Duren, Eric Decker, Denver Broncos
 Chad Ochocinco (credits below) Love him. Hate him. Vilify him. Worship him. Whatever your method of expression toward Bill Belichick, you have to admit: Dude knows how to turn gridiron clowns into career-year fantasy demigods.
At some point in each of their careers, the fantasy gods looked down with mercy on starters-turned-suckers like Corey Dillon and Randy Moss and sent them to the New England Patriots. Magic resides in Belichick's nasty old cutoff sleeves, which is why Chad Ochocinco will be one of the top sleepers in this year's draft.
Ochocinco currently is going in the ninth round in Y! leagues. Consider this: 85 is being drafted after Kenny Britt, Percy Harvin, Austin Collie, Sidney Rice and Steve Smith.
Britt has a legitimate shot at having a decent season, but WR's rarely excel with Matt Hasselbeck at the helm.
Percy Harvin is a spark plug, but he's never been a #1 receiver and it remains to be seen if he will excel without being hampered by injuries.
Sidney Rice was a #1 until he went to Seattle, and while he still is the team's top receiver, he plays in Seattle and Tavaris Jackson is his quarterback. Not good.
Austin Collie excelled in the first half of the season last year and could break out, but, like Harvin, injuries are a concern.
Carolina's Steve Smith has only had three seasons of 85+ receptions and only 2 seasons of 1200+ yards.
Ochocinco, on the other hand, has five seasons of 1200+ yards and 85+ receptions. None of the receivers mentioned in that list have a resume that is anything close to Ochocinco's.
And finally, the most persuading five letters for anyone looking for a sleeper WR: B-R-A-D-Y.
If 85 is off the board and you are still scrounging for a WR2 or WR3, there's a good chance that Chargers wideout Malcolm Floyd still is available. Nagging injuries plagued the lanky wideout for most of the second half of the season last year. When he was healthy, though, he was very good. In his first five games he hauled in nearly 500 yards and three touchdowns. Granted, Floyd's track record is a bit spotty considering his injuries, but like Ochocinco, he has one major factor working in his favor — Philip Rivers, a quarterback that loves to throw the ball and, barring injury, pretty much is a lock for 4000+ yards and 30 TDs. Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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Tags: 2011 Fantasy Football, Draft Kit, Wide Receivers, Fantasy Football Rankings, James Duren, Chad Ochocino
 Matthew Stafford (credits below) Over the past few months, fantasy gurus from all reaches of the Earth have knelt before the statue of a certain young quarterback whose team consists of one superstar receiver, one emerging young tight end and one second-year running back whose big toe drew more press last year than his stats.
Somewhere along that pilgrimage to His Holiness Matthew Stafford, the succulent aroma of his last two full games in the NFL — one barnburning performance against a ride-on-the-suck-stick Washington Redskins defense and a decent 2 TD performance against the Jets — have seduced most of us into passing on an emerging Sam Bradford and heroes-turned-table-scraps like Donovan McNabb and Matt Cassel.
I, sir, will not buy into the hype.
The St. Louis Rams' Sam Bradford had a better freshman season last year than Stafford did in 2009, and the talent of Bradford's top three receivers couldn't even come close to matching the ability you'd find in Calvin Johnson's left foot. In 16 games last season, Bradford had four games in which he threw multiple interceptions.
Stafford's rookie season? He threw multiple picks in five of the ten games in which he played. Throw in the fact that Bradford now is under the wing of quarterback savior Josh McDaniels, and you can make a strong case that Bradford could turn out a better season than Stafford.
In Yahoo leagues, Stafford is, on average, going in the 10th round, while Bradford is going two rounds later. In ESPN leagues, owners are taking both Bradford and Stafford in the 10th round.
Should you choose to stock up on WRs and RBs in the early and middle rounds, consider taking a chance on Sam Bradford's eskimo brother, Matt Cassel, who thrived under Josh McDaniel's instruction in New England. In his last 11 games last seasons, Cassel threw for 23 TDs and only 4 INTs. Those are solid numbers; far better than anything that Stafford has to offer.
Sure, there are rumors that Charlie Weis' departure has owners feeling a little antsy about Cassel, but that uneasiness should be equally matched by Stafford's stomach-turning, Cutler-like 20 TD/24 INT performance in 2009. Cassel is going in the 13th round in Y! leagues, and he's off the board in the 10th round of ESPN leagues.
Donovan McNabb may also be a decent pickup in late rounds. He has an impact receiver in Percy Harvin, although there's not much else there in the Viking's receiving corps to be excited about. Adrian Peterson will keep defenses honest, but it remains to be seen whether or not McNabb can still sling it like he used to. In Y! leagues, McNabb is going in the 12th round, while ESPN owners are taking him in the 13th round.Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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(August 31, 2011 - Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images North America)
Tags: 2011 Fantasy Football, Draft Kit, Quarterbacks, Fantasy Football Rankings, James Duren
 It's hard to imagine an NFL tight end "sneaking up" on anyone; most of them are built like a cross between a power forward and a brick wall. Yet we often find ourselves gritting our teeth in the middle rounds, summoning our inner clairvoyant to decide whether or not Chris Cooley will be a smarter pickup than Mario Manningham. Will this be the year (insert name of tight end) goes off? The task seems nearly impossible. The best advice is to draft a good tight end when you can.
Only four tight ends in the league in the last three years have tallied 1,000-yard seasons — Antonio Gates, Dallas Clark, Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez. Only three tight ends ends averaged more than 1 TD every two games— Gates, Clark and Vernon Davis in his last two seasons.
Most mid-level tight ends average about 1 TD every three games — Witten, Jermichael Finley in his last two seasons, Kellen Winslow, Owen Daniels and Marcedes Lewis.
Gates, Clark and Witten are the only tight ends in the league that average more than 60 yards receiving per game. The message is clear when its time to draft a tight end: Gates, Clark, Witten and Vernon Davis are the cream of a crop that has a very weak harvest.
If you can't snag one of the big four — they'll theoretically all be gone by the 6th round per Y! and ESPN's ADP's— you'll need to be savvy with your TE pick. And by "savvy," I mean, don't buy into the Jermichael Finley hype. Somehow the Green Bay pass catcher has become more beloved to fantasy football paparazzi than Pippi Middleton has to photo-snapping Brits. Drafting Finley as the second tight end is a travesty, as the TE's one measly season of mediocre numbers is laughable compared to the yardage consistency of Gates, Clark, Witten and Davis. According to Y!, Finley is the second TE being drafted. In ESPN leagues, he is getting picked up after Gates, Clark and Witten, and rightly so.
One big boss that quietly hauled in 71 catches, 722 yards and 4 TD's is the Detroit Lion's Brandon Pettigrew, a third year TE from Oklahoma State that went in the first round of the 2009 draft. Pettigrew's numbers from last season are, points-wise, nearly identical to Finley's 2009 numbers. Pettigrew's 71 catchers were only six behind the Lions' leading receiver, Calvin Johnson. Not bad for a guy whose Y! ADP is 117, behind Jacob Tamme and Kevin Boss; and whose ESPN ADP is 131, behind Greg Olsen and Jimmy Graham. Pettigrew's 71/722/4 is a steal in the double-digit rounds, especially considering only six tight ends had more yards in 2010 than he did in 2010.
After Pettigrew, Cleveland's Benjamin Watson may be a decent option. Watson's 2010 numbers are similar to Pettigrew's — 68 receptions, 763 yards and 3 TD's. For what it's worth, Watson excelled in his first year in the talent landfill that is Cleveland. Watson's numbers came via the questionable skills of Jake Delhomme, Seneca Wallace and Colt McCoy. Watson's Y! ADP puts him in the 15th round. His ESPN ADP tags him as the 23rd TE selected.
Another possible gem may be Aaron Hernandez, whose 6 touchdowns were decent, but whose three 1-reception games and three 0-reception games are a worry.Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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Tags: 2011 Fantasy Football, Draft Kit, Tight Ends, Fantasy Football Rankings, Aaron Hernandez, Brandon Pettigrew, Chris Cooley, Benjamin Watson, Antonio Gates, Dallas Clark, Jason Witten, Tony Gonzalez, James Duren
 Ryan Grant Let's be honest. Most of us are hoping we can put our league championship to bed by crafting some serious draft-day wizardry. Sure, we cannot deny that adrenaline shock that pounds through our veins when we find out in the middle of a work meeting that our blockbuster trade went through, but trading your way to the championship is a fickle and unpredictable endeavor. So are free agent pickups, although waiver wire vultures may disagree. If you don't like walking the midseason tight rope of adds and drops, then come draft time you need to swing your cheat sheet battle axe with Conan the Barbarian fervor. So let's talk sleepers.
Firstly, LaGarette Blount is not a sleeper. The guy basically put the finishing touches on the "Draft Me Next Year" billboard he was painting when he broke the 1,000-yard mark in only seven games last season. Calling him a sleeper is like saying the Dos Equis guy was juicing when he bench pressed those geishas. Nice try.
A legit sleeper pick this year is Ryan Grant. Two factors work against Grant— he is coming off an injury, and James Starks had a great playoff run. Somehow, Grant has slipped down the draft charts because of these two reasons. He doesn't appear anywhere on ESPN's July 7 Sleepers article that included 12 staff picking sleepers at the four main positions. Here's the deal: he rushed for more than 1,253 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2009, a very strong sign. Assuming that his ankle is fully healed, expect Grant to raise eyebrows and have you patting yourself on the back come Tuesday morning. And what of James Starks' playoffs performances? I seem to remember Dominic Rhodes having a great playoff run when the Colts won the Super Bowl, only to wallow in fantasy wasteland since.
Another sleeper lurking in the shadowy depths of most drafts is Shonn Greene. Sure, he may have been the reason why corner liquor stores made a killing on scotch every Sunday night last season. Many of us thought he'd barrel his way through opposing defenses for big numbers. Not so. Lazarus LaDanian Tomlinson peeled off the zombie suit and stole the show. This year, however, is the year that Greene will surprise. Tomlinson is another year older, the Jets still will run the ball and Shonn Greene will get his carries. There's a good chance Green will scrape the top-10 this year. There's an even better chance that he'll be on the board in the late rounds. Greene's ESPN RB ADP is 25, behind Felix Jones and Cedric Benson. Not a bad risk considering he's got minimal wear-and-tear and his chances to run the ball will increase, presumably, as the season wears on and LT wears out.
Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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 Tony Romo (see credits below) As Roger Goodell announced that the players and owners agreed to a collective bargaining agreement, the sighs and cheers of millions of fantasy geeks swept from coast to coast.
Welcome back, draft boards. Welcome back, smack talk. Welcome back, Monday morning walk of shame after starting Shonn Green over LaDanian Tomlinson.
And, of course, welcome back to lofty predictions.
Saddle up, gentlemen. 2011 will be the year of the Cowboy, and Tony Romo will be the mean old six-shooting cuss that will lead the charge.
Fantasy owners in Y! leagues are taking Romo at the 35th pick, while ESPN owners are snagging him at the 43rd pick. Based on his average draft position, fantasy owners essentially are saying that Romo is a second-tier QB — he falls 12 picks behind the QB in front of him, Philip Rivers, in Y! and 18 picks behind Rivers in ESPN.
The Network’s Chris Harris, the mad scientist who propagates the two-QB theory, doesn’t even mention Romo in a July 7 article about quarterback rankings.
What does this mean for you?
While other managers scramble in the first two rounds for the safety of sacred stand-by’s— here’s to you, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Peyton Manning— you can pick up an extra running back or receiver knowing there’s a good chance that Mr. Romo will be waiting around for you in the late third- or early fourth-round.
Number 9’s stats last season before the Giants buried his collarbone into the turf read like a love letter from Dallas — he averaged over 300 yards per game, more than 40 pass attempts, more than two touchdowns and just over one pick a game.
Those are huge numbers; love letter from Dallas, indeed.
The Lone Star State’s seductive ways don’t stop at Romo, either. In the first four games of the 2010 season, Miles Austin was capturing more astonished stares than Colin Farrell’s comb-over in ‘Horrible Bosses.’ His yardage totals over that span were 146,142, 20 and 166.
In 2009, Austin had five catches for 81 yards and one score in his first four games. Over the next twelve games, Austin amassed more than 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns. His totals in his last 16 games with Romo in the lineup are nothing short of a perpetual series of vinegar strokes for owners — 1,713 yards and 12 touchdowns.
These monstrous numbers, however, are lost on managers this year. Austin is going in the mid third-round in Y! leagues and only six picks ahead of Dez Bryant (32nd to 38th) in ESPN leagues. The good news here is that Austin probably will be around in the third round, and that there is plenty of confidence in Bryant’s playmaking ability, thus reinforcing Romo’s potential for a monster year.
Look for Jason Witten to break 1,000 yards again this season. If it all plays out like it should, even the most conservative fantasy pundits wouldn’t hesitate to predict 1,000 yards from Austin, Bryant, and Witten.
Barring injury, Romo has a great chance to finish the season as a top-5 QB, Austin a top-5 finish in WR’s, Bryant a top-15 WR finish and Witten a top-5 finish.
Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!(October 24, 2010 - Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images North America)Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Football Advice, Monday Night Football, Training Camp, Football Rankings, Week 1, Dallas Cowboys, Tony Romo, Miles Austin, Dez Bryant
 The New Dance Craze - Do the Obomanu! So you’re sitting on your couch Sunday and you think to yourself, “How is it that Ben Obomanu scored more points this week than pretty much every receiver in the league not named Dwayne Bowe or Deion Branch?”
Looking back on the entire season, you could insert plenty of other names in that sentence…Seyi Ajirotutu, Keiland Williams, Steve Johnson, Danny Woodhead, and so on.
Some of these sleepers are one-hit wonders. Some go one to provide steady points for the rest of the season. Either way, every week there’s that random player that few teams own that puts up big numbers.
In this column, we choose one player that falls into that “Gold Mine” category and we highlight his background. Basically, we try to answer the question, “Where the heck did that guy come from?”
This isn’t a waiver wire recommendation. Consider it a short biography on a random player tagged with a rest-of-the-season performance projection.
Ben Obomanu, WR, Seattle Seahawks, 159 yards, 1 TD
Obomanu lettered in football and basketball at Selma High School in Selma, Alabama. He was valedictorian of his class.
Selma, as you remember, was an active city in the United States Civil Rights movement in the 1960’s. While the small Alabama city sowed some significant seeds in the fight for racial equality, it’s harvest of professional athletes isn’t so plentiful.
Obomanu shares the “most-famous-athlete-from-Selma” podium with United States Women’s Soccer legend Mia Hamm.
Obo finished high school in 2002 as a Parade All-American. He joined Bears receiver Devin Aromashodu and Raiders quarterback at Auburn University.
The Selma native entered the 2006 NFL Draft with a 4.45 40-yard dash time at the Combine, putting him .10 seconds ahead of Brandon Marshall and .10 seconds behind Aromashodu.
Oba went in the seventh round of the draft, along with Aromashodu and safety-turned-punching-bag Cortland Finnegan.
Projections:
Obomanu is flourishing in the absence of Mike Williams, Matt Hasselbeck’s favorite receiver up until a foot injury sidelined him last week. Williams’ status for this week’s game against Kansas City.
If Williams returns to the lineup, don’t expect much from Obamanu. If he stays out for more than another week, Obomanu may be a good flex play. He’s caught five passes and scored a touchdown in each of his last two games.
Obomanu is currently available in 96% of Y! leagues.
Written by James Duren, exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com.
Do you think Ben Obomanu is worth the pickup?
Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix, or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Football Advice, Fantasy Football Blog, Fantasy Sports Blog, Fantasy Football Gold, Week 13, Week Thirteen, Ben Obomanu, Seattle Seahawks, Mike Williams
 It’s so long, farewell and adieu to DeAngelo Williams. The pint-sized running back from Memphis University went Kyle Orton two years ago, blowing everyone’s expectations away.
His 20 touchdown performance in 2008 landed him in the top tier of fantasy backs. Williams went in the first and second rounds of many drafts in 2009. Whereas “brilliance” defined his 2008, “bust” defined his 2009 campaign.
Now, two years removed from the halls of glory, Williams is on injured reserve. It’s like the car broke the speed record (2008), got some serious speed wobbles (2009) and lost control (2010).
Williams’ sad stroll down skid row/IR would normally sting a little less because of wunderkind backup Jonathan Stewart. Unfortunately, Stewart is hurt. Therefore, the final chapter of DeAngelo’s rise and fall ends at the feet of third-stringer Mike Goodson.
Goodson put up a decent showing against Tampa Bay, but not decent enough to warrant a start in his next matchup against a stubborn Saints defense.
Justin Forsett is on the market in many leagues, but he’s unreliable. Marion "The Barbarian" Barber is more Barbara than Barbarian. Ricky Williams has scored twice this season. Keiland Williams had a breakout game, but his schedule is daunting.
What we’re saying is that you are in big trouble. You may consider replacing Williams with a wide receiver like the Rams’ Danny Amendola, since he’s playing a terrible Falcons pass defense this week or the Jaguars’ hero Mike Thomas.
Written by James Duren, exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com.
Who are you picking up?
Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix, or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Football Advice, Fantasy Football Blog, Fantasy Sports Blog, Fantasy Football Gold, Week 11, Week Eleven, Keiland Williams, Washington Redskins
 Every week there’s that one guy that comes from nowhere to score big numbers. And when I mean nowhere, I mean he wasn’t on anyone’s team, on anyone’s projections or in anyone’s crystal ball.
This column started out by highlighting players owned by less than 50 percent of Y! teams, but it turns out that many of the players that rise to gold mine status are owned by less than 10 percent of teams.
Don’t get us wrong… this article isn’t a waiver wire suggestion. It’s the fantasy football equivalent of an archaeological dig: you find something awesome and you wonder where it came from. So here’s the story on this week’s golden artifact, Redskins running back Keiland Williams. Keiland Williams, RB, Washington Redskins: 130 total yards, 3 TDsKeiland Williams was a beast at Northside High School in Lafayette, Louisiana. In his junior season, he rushed for over 2,000 yards and 30 touchdowns. Beastly.
He finished his final year of high school football at Hargrave Military Academy. Hargrave is home to many a military commander, but in the sports world, Hargrave is known for some notable names: NBA coach Larry Brown, the New Orleans Saints’ Charles Grant and NASCAR driver Ward Burton.
Williams played college football at LSU. His career as a Tiger was unimpressive.
Keiland started three games during his senior season. He finished his senior season with 368 yards and four touchdowns. He signed with the Redskins as an undrafted free agent on April 29, 2010.ProjectionsQuite frankly, it doesn’t seem like there is much light at the end of William’s tunnel for two reasons.
First, the Redskins face some stingy run defenses (Green Bay once and the Giants twice).
Second, if Ryan Torain’s hamstring heals up, Williams will probably lose some carries.
Nothing, however, is certain in the fantasy football world. Just ask Kyle Orton and Brandon Lloyd. If you are still interested in Williams, he’s available in 74 percent of Y! leagues.
Written by James Duren, exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com.Do you think Keiland Williams is worth the pickup?Follow The Fantasy Fix on Twitter @thefantasyfix, or for Free Fantasy Sports Advice use our Quick Fix to get help with your team!
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Football Advice, Fantasy Football Blog, Fantasy Sports Blog, Fantasy Football Gold, Week 11, Week Eleven, Keiland Williams, Washington Redskins
 First it was Legedu Naanee – a Western Athletic Conference receiver with an unsightly name. You never referred to him by name in conversation with your buddies for fear of making a fool of yourself. He wasn’t Legedu Naanee. He was “that one receiver from Boise State.” Now Nanee is usurped by fellow strange-named wideout – Seyi Ajirotutu, “that one receiver from Fresno State.”
Whether it be a front office fetish with Western Athletic Conference receivers or a riding-on-the-coattails-of-former-Bulldog-roommate-Ryan-Mathews, the Archbishop Ajirotutu played his way onto the Chargers starting squad after injuries to Patrick Crayton and Naanee.
Ajirotutu played football at Fresno State from 2005 to 2009. “Tutu,” as he’s known by teammates, redshirted his freshman year and didn’t put up good numbers until his junior year (714 yards, five touchdowns). Tutu finished his senior season with 671 yards and seven touchdowns, earning him Second Team All-WAC honors.
The 6’3” pass catcher posted a 4.58 40-yard dash during his March 2010 Pro Day . Scouts noted his big size and good speed in their pre-draft analysis. Though Tutu didn’t get his name called on either draft day, he did sign as a free agent with the Chargers.
Projections
Any wideout catching passes from Philip Rivers is in the running for a one touchdown, 75-yard performance. Vincent Jackson, Malcolm Floyd, Patrick Crayton, and Legedu Nanee can all attest.
Tutu’s success over the last seven weeks of the season will, it seems, be predicated on how fast Malcolm Floyd and Patrick Crayton recover. If both receivers remain on the bench when Vincent Jackson returns against the Colts on Nov. 28, Tutu could continue to post decent numbers.
If Crayton and Floyd are healthy enough to start against the Broncos following the Chargers’ bye this week, Tutu’s chances of posting anything close to what he did Sunday are slim.
At this point, there’s no rush to pick up Seyi. He is available in 96% of Y!. Keep an eye on Crayton and Floyd’s status over the break. If they remain hobbled, the Archbishop could thrown down a great day against the Broncos on Nov. 22.
Written by James Duren, exclusively for www.thefantasyfix.com.
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Sports Blog, Fantasy Football Advice, Waiver Wire, Week 9, Week 10, NFL, San Diego Chargers, Phillip Rivers, Vincent Jackson, Ryan Mathews, Seyi Ajirotutu, James Duren, AFC, NFC, Fantasy Football, Gold
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