2014 Fantasy BaseballAndrew Miller

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Week 1 Pitching Preview

This year’s pitching preview will give you more information to dominate your opponents. I’ll give you a general overview of whom to start and sit in mixed leagues, which will include a list of two-start pitchers; rankings of one-start pitchers; streamable starters owned in under 50 percent of ESPN leagues; as well as starters you should either pick up and hold on to or drop.

The pitching preview will be published over the weekend with updates throughout the weekend and as many Mondays as possible to be as current as can be before rosters lock on Mondays for those of you in weekly leagues. As always, feel free to comment here or contact me on Twitter @44AMiller.

Two-start pitchers

The pitchers’ starts highlighted in red are borderline options I recommend sitting, while the pitchers’ starts in green are borderline or low-owned pitchers I’d recommend starting, at least in leagues where you can set your lineups daily.

Pitcher Opponent 1 Opponent 2
A.J. Burnett Tue at TEX Sun at CHC
Adam Wainwright Mon at CIN Sun at PIT
Alex Cobb Tue vs. TOR Sun vs. TEX
Alex Wood Tue at MIL Sun at WSH
Andrew Cashner Sun vs. LAD Sat at MIA
Brandon McCarthy Mon vs. SF Sat at COL
Brett Anderson Tue at MIA Sun vs. ARI
CC Sabathia Tue at HOU Sun at TOR
Chris Sale Mon vs. MIN Sun at KC
Chris Tillman Mon vs. BOS Sat at DET
Cliff Lee Mon at TEX Sat at CHC
David Price Mon vs. TOR Sat vs. TEX
Dillon Gee Mon vs. WSH Sat vs. CIN
Drew Hutchison Tue at TB Sun vs. NYY
Erasmo Ramirez Tue at LAA Sun at OAK
Felix Hernandez Mon at LAA Sat at OAK
Francisco Liriano Mon vs. CHC Sat vs. STL
Hyun-jin Ryu Sun at SD Sat vs. SF
Ian Kennedy Mon vs. LAD Sun at MIA
James Shields Mon at DET Sun vs. CWS
Jeff Samardzija Mon at PIT Sat at PHI
Jered Weaver Mon vs. SEA Sun at HOU
Johnny Cueto Mon vs. STL Sat at NYM
Jon Lester Mon at BAL Sun vs. MIL
Jorge De La Rosa Mon at MIA Sat vs. ARI
Jose Fernandez Mon vs. COL Sat vs. SD
Julio Teheran Mon at MIL Sat at WSH
Justin Masterson Mon at OAK Sun vs. MIN
Justin Verlander Mon vs. KC Sun vs. BAL
Madison Bumgarner Mon at ARI Sat at LAD
Matt Cain Tue at ARI Sun at LAD
Nathan Eovaldi Tue vs. COL Sun vs. SD
R.A. Dickey Mon at TB Sat vs. NYY
Ricky Nolasco Mon at CWS Sun at CLE
Scott Feldman Tue vs. NYY Sun vs. LAA
Scott Kazmir Tue vs. CLE Sun vs. SEA
Sonny Gray Mon vs. CLE Sat vs. SEA
Stephen Strasburg Mon at NYM Sat vs. ATL
Tanner Scheppers Mon vs. PHI Sun at TB
Trevor Cahill Wed vs. SF Sun at COL
Yovani Gallardo Mon vs. ATL Sun at BOS

A lot of these pitchers are your aces and No. 2’s so I won’t comment on them since you’re going to be starting them pretty much no matter what.

  • I wasn’t touching Jered Weaver this draft season – his K%, FIP, xFIP and velocity have all taken turns for the worse in the past few years – but no one has an easier start to the season than he does: home against Seattle and at Houston.
  • If you can I’d sit A.J. Burnett against Texas. He walked 4.2 per nine innings this spring and hit seven batters in just over 19 innings.
  • Alex Wood should be owned and started in all leagues. His numbers in last year’s debut were right in line with his minor league numbers, and neither of his matchups this week are too scary.
  • Brett Anderson at Miami is a very intriguing start. His groundball percentage is amazing, and he should be able to at least give you a quality start.
  • Keep an eye on Drew Hutchison. I’m not going to recommend you start him as his matchups aren’t very good, but he did have a good spring (19 K, 4 BB, 15 IP) and his minor league numbers are very good.
  • Ian Kennedy has two plus matchups, and while I could understand you not using him against the Dodgers you should use him against Miami
  • Nate Eovaldi has two good matchups at home – Colorado and San Diego. I’d stream him in both starts.
  • I’d sit Scheppers, Cahill and Gallardo until we saw what Scheppers is like as a starter and until the other two prove that we can rely on them again.
  • Chris Tillman had a strong 2013, but starts out 2014 with two tough opponents. I’d start Wood, Eovaldi and Kennedy over him.

One-start rankings

The pitchers ranked below are single-start pitchers who I’d feel comfortable with starting in almost any league, starting at 10-teamers to 16-team leagues and beyond. You’re obviously starting a lot of these names, but the ranks closer to the bottom will help you decide on whom to start in weekly leagues or in leagues with start limits.

  1. Clayton Kershaw – Fri vs. SF – Scheduled to start Friday, but it remains to be seen if he will due to his back injury. Kershaw was placed on the DL Saturday night and will be able to come off the DL April 6 or 7 at the earliest.
  2. Max Scherzer – Wed vs. KC
  3. Zack Greinke – Tue at SD
  4. Jordan Zimmermann – Thu at NYM
  5. Anibal Sanchez – Thu vs. KC
  6. Masahiro Tanaka – Fri at TOR
  7. Homer Bailey – Thu vs. STL
  8. Gerrit Cole – Fri vs. STL
  9. Gio Gonzalez – Wed at NYM
  10. Shelby Miller – Fri at PIT
  11. Michael Wacha – Wed at CIN
  12. Ivan Nova – Thu at HOU
  13. Danny Salazar – Fri vs. MIN
  14. Hiroki Kuroda – Wed at HOU
  15. Dan Haren – Wed at SD
  16. C.J. Wilson – Tue vs. SEA
  17. Clay Buchholz – Sat vs. MIL
  18. Chris Archer – Thu vs. TOR
  19. Zack Wheeler – Thu vs. WSH
  20. Jake Peavy – Fri vs. MIL
  21. Matt Garza – Wed vs. ATL
  22. Drew Smyly – Sat vs. BAL
  23. Tyson Ross – Wed vs. LAD
  24. Tyler Skaggs – Sat at HOU
  25. Travis Wood – Fri vs. PHI
  26. Dan Straily – Thu vs. SEA
  27. John Lackey – Wed at BAL
  28. Rick Porcello – Fri vs. BAL
  29. Kyle Lohse – Tue vs. ATL
  30. Tony Cingrani – Wed vs. STL
  31. Hector Santiago – Wed vs. SEA
  32. Tim Hudson – Wed at ARI
  33. Martin Perez – Tue vs. PHI
  34. Corey Kluber – Tue at OAK
  35. Michael Pineda – Sat at TOR
  36. Marco Estrada – Fri at BOS
  • Starters to pass on:

Matt Moore Wed vs. TOR, Bartolo Colon Wed vs. WSH, Tim Lincecum Thu at ARI.

Streaming Starters

  • Hector Santiago – Wed vs. SEA – He has a career 8.73 K/9 in the Majors and he should be able to do well against Seattle’s lefty-heavy lineup.
  • Tyler Skaggs – Sat vs. HOU – Skaggs improved his mechanics this spring and was throwing harder as a result. A season opener against Houston is the best you could ask for.
  • Martin Perez – Tue vs. PHI – The Phillies were seventh-worst in wOBA last year against lefties, and their lineup still has five lefties plus a pitcher.
  • Tyson Ross – Wed vs. LAD – Struck out over 23 percent of hitters last year and improved his ground ball rate to 52 percent for his career. That’ll play in Petco.
  • Corey Kluber – Tue at OAK – Underowned at just 11 percent of ESPN leagues, Kluber had an 8.3 K/9 last year with a 3.85 ERA and 3.30 FIP. He’s not sexy but he’s pretty effective.
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