2014 Fantasy Baseball, Week 3 Tools of the Trade: Buying Homer Bailey?

TheFantasyFix.com’s “Tools of the Trade” is a unique guide for owners to use while attempting to make an even trade with their league-mates in a standard 12-team mixed, 5×5 head-to-head or rotisserie redraft league.

The values present in this guide are simply the basis for a trade. A full-blown analysis of each team’s strengths and weaknesses are essential prior to proposing or accepting a trade offer.

How to use the guide: Ideally, owners will agree to a trade that will aid both sides and stay within $2-3 of each other in a one-for-one and $4-5 in a multi-player deal, according to our chart.

The Week 1 “Tools of the Trade” was free for all readers, but going forward, the “Tools of the Trade” will only be available to Front Office members. Learn the benefits of being a Front Office member here.
[Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball, Week 2 Tools of the Trade

Puigggg

TheFantasyFix.com’s “Tools of the Trade” is a unique guide for owners to use while attempting to make an even trade with their league-mates in a standard 12-team mixed, 5×5 head-to-head or rotisserie redraft league.

The values present in this guide are simply the basis for a trade. A full-blown analysis of each team’s strengths and weaknesses are essential prior to proposing or accepting a trade offer.

How to use the guide: Ideally, owners will agree to a trade that will aid both sides and stay within $2-3 of each other in a one-for-one and $4-5 in a multi-player deal, according to our chart.

The Week 1 “Tools of the Trade” was free for all readers, but going forward, the “Tools of the Trade” will only be available to Front Office members. Learn the benefits of being a Front Office member here.

Read the rest of this article by logging in or purchasing The Fix's "Front Office" package.

2014 MLB Staff Predictions: Nationals Are Favorite at the Fix

miggy land

For the second consecutive year, TheFantasyFix.com chose to make public our official staff predictions for the 2014 Major League Baseball season.

Here is the moment you’ve all been waiting for:

Staffer AL West AL Central AL East AL Wild Card AL Wild Card
Alan Harrison Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers
Chris Garosi Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays Chicago White Sox
Andrew Miller Oakland Athletics Kansas City Royals Tampa Bay Rays Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers
Rich Migliorisi Oakland Athletics Cleveland Indians Tampa Bay Rays New York Yankees Detroit Tigers
Matt Moczygemba Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays Los Angeles Angels
Gerard Martin Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox Cleveland Indians
John Hoey Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals New York Yankees Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers
Chris Kay Texas Rangers Detroit Tigers New York Yankees Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays
Scott Barzilla Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals
Ben Duronio Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox
Brett Talley Oakland Athletics Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Indians
Josh Shepardson Texas Rangers Detroit Tigers Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals

The Athletics, Tigers and Rays are the favorites to become division winners, with the Red Sox the only team that sticks out as a fit for one of the Wild Card spots.

Staffer NL West NL Central NL East NL Wild Card NL Wild Card
Alan Harrison Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals Pittsburgh Pirates
Chris Garosi Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants
Andrew Miller San DIego Padres St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers
Rich Migliorisi Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves Pittsburgh Pirates
Matt Moczygemba Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants
Gerard Martin Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals San Francisco Giants
John Hoey Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves Cincinnati Reds
Chris Kay Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves Cincinnati Reds
Scott Barzilla Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals San Francisco Giants Pittsburgh Pirates
Ben Duronio Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals San Francisco Giants
Brett Talley Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals San Diego Padres Atlanta Braves
Josh Shepardson Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals San Francisco Giants Atlanta Braves

The Dodgers, Cardinals and Nationals are as close to unanimous as you can get for the National League Division Champions, with the Braves and Giants are among the favorites to win the Wild Cards.

Staffer NL Champ AL Champ WS CHamp
Alan Harrison Cardinals Tigers Cardinals
Chris Garosi Dodgers Red Sox Dodgers
Andrew Miller Cardinals Rays Cardinals
Rich Migliorisi Nationals Athletics Nationals
Matt Moczygemba Cardinals Athletics Cardinals
Gerard Martin Dodgers Tigers Tigers
John Hoey Dodgers Yankees Yankees
Chris Kay Dodgers Tigers Tigers
Scott Barzilla Nationals Tigers Nationals
Ben Duronio Cardinals Rays Rays
Brett Talley Nationals Rays Nationals
Josh Shepardson Nationals Tigers Nationals

This is where the predictions become interesting. A mix-and-match of Cardinals, Nationals and Dodgers selections out of the National League with a potpourri of teams coming out of the American League. At any rate, the majority of the staff believe the National League will come out on top again in twenty-fourteen.

And the staff awards:

Staffer AL MVP AL CY AL ROY NL MVP NL CY NL ROY
Alan Harrison Miguel Cabrera Justin Verlander Xander Bogaerts Hanley Ramirez Adam Wainwright Billy Hamilton
Chris Garosi Mike Trout Chris Sale Xander Bogaerts Yadier Molina Madison Bumgarner Gregory Polanco
Andrew Miller Evan Longoria Felix Hernandez Jose Abreu Yadier Molina Madison Bumgarner Kolten Wong
Rich Migliorisi Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Masahiro Tanaka Bryce Harper Jose Fernandez Gregory Polanco
Matt Moczygemba Mike Trout Justin Verlander Jose Abreu Hanley Ramirez Adam Wainwright Billy Hamilton
Gerard Martin Miguel Cabrera Anibal Sanchez Masahiro Tanaka Paul Goldschmidt Clayton Kershaw Archie Bradley
John Hoey Chris Davis Felix Hernandez Jose Abreu Paul Goldschmidt Clayton Kershaw Archie Bradley
Chris Kay Mike Trout Justin Verlander Masahiro Tanaka Bryce Harper Clayton Kershaw Billy Hamilton
Scott Barzilla Mike Trout Felix Hernandez George Springer Andrew mccutchen Stephen Strasburg Billy Hamilton
Ben Duronio Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Masahiro Tanaka Hanley Ramirez Jose Fernandez Gregory Polanco
Brett Talley Mike Trout Chris Sale Jose Abreu Paul Goldschmidt Adam Wainwright Gregory Polanco
Josh Shepardson Mike Trout Yu Darvish Jose Abreu Freddie Freeman Gerrit Cole Oscar Taveras

Let us know your picks in the comments below.

2014 Fantasy Baseball, Week 1 Tools of the Trade

JHey

TheFantasyFix.com’s “Tools of the Trade” is a unique guide for owners to use while attempting to make an even trade with their league-mates in a standard 12-team mixed, 5×5 head-to-head or rotisserie redraft league.

The values present in this guide are simply the basis for a trade. A full-blown analysis of each team’s strengths and weaknesses are essential prior to proposing or accepting a trade offer.
[Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball Team Previews: Washington Nationals

Bryce Harper

Note: This article is simply a preview of content that was originally published in TheFantasyFix.com’s 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide. Average draft position and other data have not been updated since. This preview does not contain all the content from the original piece. You can find the draft guide here.

OFFSEASON OVERVIEW

The Washington Nationals were picked by everyone under the sun to win the NL East last year — but after stumbling through the first half, they weren’t able to catch up to the Braves. They finished the season strong going 34-20 over the last two months. Following key transactions this offseason, they should be a serious contender to win the division and go deep in the playoffs this year.
[Read more...]

45 Prospects in 45 Days: Seattle’s James Paxton

James Paxton

Over the next 45 days the staff here at The Fix will profile and predict the fantasy fates of prospects that could – should, in some cases – be closely monitored on the waiver wire or even in the draft room.

For the projection portion of the article, we will try our best to give you projections from all three major projection systems. Those projection systems are: ZiPS, Steamer, and Oliver. Oliver varies from the other two by projecting what a player would accomplish over 600 PA. Obviously, most prospects won’t reach 600 PA, due to various reasons. It can help to pay more attention to the rate stats that are included in order to get a clearer idea of what you’re dealing with in a particular player.

Profile:

The 6-4 Canadien left-hander became a first-round selection of the Seattle Mariners in the 2010 MLB Amateur Draft. Interestingly, Paxton was first selected by the Blue Jays in the first-round of the 2009 draft, but when the two sides failed to negotiate a deal, the Blue Jays brass leaked to the press that the team held negotiations with the pitcher and made him ineligible for collegiate ball. Or so the story goes… Following this debacle, Paxton landed in Independent Ball and would ultimately be a top pick the M’s the following year.

The bread-and-butter of Paxton’s arsenal are his fastball and curveball. He can turn the fastball up to 98, but typically sits between 92-96. The hammer curve, which Baseball America calls a “plus-plus” pitch, crosses the plate at about 86 mph. A cutter and change-up round out Paxton’s repertoire, but those pitches aren’t as refined as the first two.

Here’s some video courtesy of MLBDirt:

Pundits:

Jason Parks on the year ahead:

If he can maintain his delivery, getting over the front side, I think he has the stuff to stick in a rotation. If not, he’s a nice weapon to have in the bullpen; a long-armed lefty who can pump fastballs in the mid-90s.

Baseball America on Paxton:

Paxton tightened his delivery late in 2013, which allowed him to pitch well when he was called up to the major leagues for the first time in September. Paxton will get a chance to win a spot in the big league rotation in Spring Training. If he throws enough strikes, he could be a mid-rotation starter. If he moves to the bullpen, he has the stuff to pitch high-leverage innings.

Marc Hulet of FanGraphs chimes in:

He’s a favorite to earn a spot in the opening day starting rotation but he’ll have to become more consistent if he’s going to hold down the job. After finishing just shy of 170 innings pitched in 2013, Paxton could come close to the 200-inning mark in 2014 — especially if he’s more efficient with his pitch count.

Minor League Production:

Projections:

Prediction:

With Taijuan Walker not ready to start the season, James Paxton will likely earn the number three spot in the rotation for the Mariners. At 25-years old, it feels as is the left-hander has the tools and experience to make the full-time leap to the big leagues. Paxton accumulated close to 170 innings on the bump between two levels in ’13, leading us to believe that somewhere in the 190-inning range this season is not out of the question if he makes a full-season worth of starts.

Paxton took the hill four times for the Mariners in twenty-thirteen, going 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA (3.26 FIP), a 22.3% K% while walking just 7.5% of opponents faced. Despite the small sample, it’s worth noting that Paxton induced swinging strikes at a 9.4% (SwStr%) clip and ground balls at a impressive 59.1% rate (league-average was 44.5% in ’13). Both good numbers for a starter getting his first taste of the first division.

For some fantasy owners it may be difficult to monitor the minor details (that’s what we’re here for, I suppose), but listen or look for signs of Paxton’s progress, specifically his delivery. The rumored tweaks to the delivery along with the deception and arsenal could make him fantasy-relevant in 2014. Paxton is currently the 103rd starter off the board with an average draft position of 335. He’s a viable starter AL-Only and deep(er) mixed formats for his fair ratios and decent amount of strikeouts.

2014 Fantasy Baseball Team Previews: Seattle Mariners

Note: This article is simply a preview of content that was originally published in TheFantasyFix.com’s 2014 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide. Average draft position and other data have not been updated since. This preview does not contain all the content from the original piece. You can find the draft guide here.

OFFSEASON OVERVIEW

The Seattle Mariners look to be a vastly improved team following an array of off-season moves. The marquee addition was of course Robinson Cano, but they also added Corey Hart, Willie Bloomquist and Logan Morrison. The starting rotation remained intact and the Mariners have a bevy of talent throughout their pitching staff.

TOP DRAFT PICKS (STUDS)
[Read more...]

How To Run Your March Madness Pool Without Getting Into Trouble

NCAA1During the 2014 NCAA tournament, Warren Buffett’s firm Berkshire Hathaway and Quicken Loans are offering $1 billion to anyone who comes up with the perfect March Madness brackets. If you think your chances are great, you’re wrong — you have a 9.2-quintillion-to-1 chance of filling out a perfect March Madness bracket.

Since you’re not going to be winning $1 billion — let’s be realistic — then you have a couple of options. Betting on the NCAA tournament can be something you do on your own. If you’re betting for yourself, then check out these sports betting sites reviews before placing your bet. If you want to play with others, then start an office pool. Following these six tips will ensure that your office pool stays fun while keeping you from getting thrown out of the game.

Check the Employee Handbook

It’s amazing to win $500 and legend status in the office pool. Losing your job, though? Not so amazing. Check your employee handbook or talk to someone in HR before kicking off your bets. If you can’t take bets on company property — which may also include taking bets inside of company vehicles — then keep everything out of the workplace.
[Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Potential Hitter Busts

Billy Hamilton Fantasy Baseball

The following is a list of hitters that are currently being taken too high for my liking, so you may want to be cautious with these sluggers or speedsters on draft day.

All ADP data is found in parenthesis (ADP) and taken from FantasyPros.com on February 1, 2014. All commentary reflects a 12-team league.
[Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Potential Busts on the Mound

David_Price

The following is a list of pitchers that are currently being taken too high for my liking, so you may want to be cautious with these hurlers on draft day.

All ADP data is found in parenthesis (ADP) and taken from FantasyPros.com on February 1, 2014. All commentary reflects a 12-team league.
[Read more...]