Over the next 45 days the staff here at The Fix will profile and predict the fantasy fates of prospects that could – should, in some cases – be closely monitored on the waiver wire or even in the draft room.
For the projection portion of the article, we will try our best to give you projections from all three major projection systems. Those projection systems are: ZiPS, Steamer, and Oliver. Oliver varies from the other two by projecting what a player would accomplish over 600 PA. Obviously, most prospects won’t reach 600 PA, due to various reasons. It can help to pay more attention to the rate stats that are included in order to get a clearer idea of what you’re dealing with in a particular player.
Chris Owings’ offensive tools are very good, but they don’t really jump off the page. What makes him a great prospect is that he features those tools alongside the ability to play shortstop. He has typical size for his position at 5’10”, 180 with excellent hands, feet, and arm strength as a defender.
He has above average skill in both power and speed, but neither tool qualifies as elite. He has plus power for his position, but his numbers have been a bit inflated by hitting in favorable environments. He has some speed, but he’s far from an elite base stealer.
His hit tool is perhaps his best quality, but its positive impact is mitigated by a staunch unwillingness to take walks. Owings has hit better than .300 at three of the seven stops along his minor league journey; he’s registered a walk rate better than 5% exactly once. Last season, he drew just 22 unintentional walks in 546 plate appearances at Triple-A. It’s worth noting that he hit for a .330 batting average in those same 546 plate appearances, but whether he can maintain that same production against big league pitching remains a question. He was called up last season, but only made 61 plate appearances for the Diamondbacks.