2014 Fantasy Baseball: The Daily Fix– August 21st, 2014

It’s déjà vu all over again. I was just here yesterday giving you a lineup. Here I am again giving you another one. Thursdays are always a tough day to play, but you should always remember that you are playing with the same rules as everyone else. Today, I am playing a MLB 50/50 challenge. If you haven’t already, make sure you register at Draftkings right now. There are eight games on the total schedule (an additional suspended game is also being played), but Draftkings usually splits the competition between the early games and the later games. Anything that starts before six is considered an early game. That leaves four games in both the regular and early bird contests.

Essentially, that means you have eight regulars to choose from at each position (24 outfielders). Picking starting pitchers is challenging in those conditions, so I usually spare no expense in picking my starters on days like this. On a full slate of games, you can sometimes scrimp on pitchers if you play good matchups, but on days like today you can’t afford to be too cute.

I will give you two lineups. The first one will be the one I am using and the second one is a reasonable alternative. Draftkings gives you $50,000 to play with. The first lineup will always conform with the salary cap rules. The second lineup doesn’t necessarily conform with those rules, but is more to give you individual alternatives. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: August 20th

There are approximately two weeks left until football season begins. As much as those of us that love baseball want to say baseball is king, we know better. However, those of you that haven’t gotten your Draftkings account up and running go ahead and get it going now. Play a few baseball contests before the football season gets going. If anything, it will get you familiar with the site and the sheer number of contest combinations that are possible.

Today, I am playing in a 50/50 MLB challenge. I love the double up challenges because they give you the best odds of winning. Draftkings has begun to assert themselves in the market with some radio spots on sports radio stations. Like every other daily fantasy site, they want you to hear about the people that have won thousands and millions. I suppose there is some excitement and adrenaline that comes with entering yourself into one of those contests. Personally, I’m one of those guys that feels content playing on the penny machines in the casino.

Draftkings gives you a salary cap to work with, so you have the same opportunity to win as everyone else playing. A 50,000 salary cap is spread across ten players. In the tables below, you will see the salaries, average fantasy points per game (FPPG), and the opposing pitchers. The first table will be the lineup I am running with. The second will be a reasonable alternative at each position. As always, check lineups and weather conditions so if you need to make any last minute changes you can.

Salary

FPPG

Opposing SP Comments
C Devin Mesoraco

4200

8.2

Lance Lynn He might be the best offensive catcher in baseball
1B Freddie Freeman

4600

8.5

Gerrit Cole He seems to have plateaued, but he’s still solid.
2B Matt Carpenter

4300

7.6

Johnny Cueto People focus on what he isn’t. He’s still pretty darn good.
3B Brock Holt

4300

7.7

Garrett Richards He’s becoming a folk hero in Boston.
SS Danny Santana

4400

8.4

T.J. House One of the better rookies in the American League.
OF Alex Gordon

4900

7.6

Jorge De La Rosa He’s not as good as people say, but this is in Coors Field.
OF Adam Jones

4800

8.2

Hector Noesi He is not quite elite, but this is still very good value at the   price.
OF Dexter Fowler

4400

7.5

Michael Pineda He is the second best offensive player in Houston.
SP Alex Wood

7300

13.5

Pittsburgh Pirates His FPPG is artificially low because of his time as a reliever.
SP Roberto Hernandez

6800

10.5

San Diego Padres He’s been better as a Dodger.

 

 

 

Salary

FPPG

Opposing SP Comments
C Russell Martin

3,900

7.3

Alex Wood He’s performing like when he was a Dodger.
1B Jose Abreu

5,000

9.5

Wei Yen Chen He is the odds on favorite for Rookie of the Year.
2B Javier Baez

4,200

8.6

Jake Peavy He is just one of many exciting young Cubs prospects.
3B Carlos Santana

4,100

7.6

Ricky Nolasco He is still one of the more dynamic offensive performers in the league.
SS Starlin Castro

4,100

7.2

Jake Peavy He is already at his career high in home runs.
OF Billy Hamilton

4,500

7.7

Lance Lynn He’s not brilliant, but he’s been steady as a rookie
OF Jay Bruce

4,200

7.3

Lance Lynn It’s been a disappointing year, but he’s just beginning to hit.
SP Danny Duffy

6,500

13.4

Colorado Rockies The Royals are on a roll, so you can ride the wave.
SP Tanner Roark

8,700

17.7

Arizona Diamondbacks He is one of the candidates for Rookie of the Year in the NL.

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Breakout Players — Second Basemen

Every position goes through ebs and flows just like pitchers and hitters do in general. Second base is going through a down period at the moment. Most of the big time stars from the previous decade are either out of the game or are no longer elite players. Robinson Cano is the last big name we will see among the top six guys. Guys like Brian Roberts, Dustin Pedroia, and Ben Zobrist are no longer elite players. Time marches on and stands undefeated against mankind. On a long enough timeline, the survival rate drops to zero.

As always, a new generation must take over and that is where the breakout series really gets its fuel. The fun part of fantasy sports is always seeing which players will emerge to be the elite performers that season. Sometimes it’s only for that season, but sometimes a star shines out of nowhere and stays in the limelight. Of course, the tough part is always telling the difference between the flash of the pans and the stars of the future.

This time, we will include stolen bases in the profiles because stolen bases are huge for second basemen. Of the top six second basemen, only the aforementioned Cano does not have ten stolen bases and he seems like a good bet to get there by the end of the season. Meanwhile, one player already has more than 50 and one other will likely get there before the end of the season. We will focus our attention on runs produced and runs created yet again. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Breakout Players – First Basemen

First base is by far the deepest position and that doesn’t even count the fact that most designated hitters are classified as first basemen. So, most fantasy players use first basemen to fill their utility slot. Add in the occasional first basemen on the bench (or as a first baseman/third baseman in some leagues) and you can see that virtually every player in the top six at the position was drafted. In point of fact, most of these guys were selected within the first half of the draft.

[Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball: The Daily Fix– August 13th, 2014

The best laid plans of mice and men often go awry. I started writing this daily fix last night as is usually my pattern, but then a series of unfortunate events seemed to follow. To make a long story short, my primary computer crashed and will not turn on. I suppose these things happened. I planned to wake up early this morning and publish the piece on time, but the primary machine still was not working. So, I dusted off the moth balls and brought out the backup computer.

So, we will consider this the no frills edition of the daily fix. I am playing in the MLB $1 50/50 competition with the games beginning at 7:05 EST. That will cut out a few early games today, so if there are some big names missing from the lineup you will see why. Please remember to shift your balance from Draftstreet.com if you have not already and go over to our new partner Draftkings.com.  Football season is coming up soon, so now is as good as a time as any to get that done.

Like with Draftstreet, Draftkings gives you a salary cap to fit in all of your players. Salaries are based on average fantasy points per game (FPPG) and on the opposing pitcher (or team). They have mathematicians and statisticians that do this stuff for them, but there are occasional points of inefficiency that we can exploit. As usual, I will give you my lineup and a reasonable alternative.

   

Salary

Opposing SP

FPPG

C Wilson Ramos

3,500

Bartolo Colon

6.3

1B Ryan Howard

3,900

Jered Weaver

7.0

2B Anthony Rendon

4,100

Bartolo Colon

8.9

3B Carlos Santana

4,100

Vidal Nuno

7.6

SS Jhonny Peralta

3,800

Nathan Eovaldi

6.7

OF Mike Trout

5,400

A.J. Burnett

10.5

OF Giancarlo Stanton

5,300

Justin Masterson

9.9

OF Michael Brantley

5,000

Vidal Nuno

9.4

P Jason Vargas

7,100

Oakland Athletics

14.8

P Bartolo Colon

7,500

Washington Nationals

16.5

 

   

Salary

Opposing SP

FPPG

C Caleb Joseph

3,700

Michael Pineda

5.3

1B Anthony Rizzo

4,900

Kyle Lohse

8.7

2B Ian Kinsler

4,100

Vance Worley

8.1

3B Aramis Ramirez

4,300

Tsuyoshi Wada

7.3

SS Jimmy Rollins

3,600

Jered Weaver

7.8

OF Carlos Gomez

4,800

Tsuyoshi Wada

9.5

OF Ryan Braun

5,100

Tsuyoshi Wada

9.0

P Kyle Lohse

8,000

Chicago Cubs

16.5

P Jered Weaver

8,200

Philadelphia Phillies

16.0

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Breakout Players — Catchers

mesoraco land

Source: Joe Robbins/Getty Images North America

For most fantasy baseball players, the season is winding down. It is one of the few peculiarities in fantasy sports. The season still has a couple of months to go, but most fantasy leagues have a playoff system that lasts the full month of September. So, we are down to the last three and a half weeks of the regular season. For many of us, the season is already over. While there is a lot of time left in the season for the real players, for us there is only about three weeks to go.

All that being said, when your season is circling the drain it is never too early to take a look back at what may have gone wrong. What we discover is that most of the important decisions that went right or wrong happened after the draft and not during the draft. Unlike the real offensive value series, we are going to take a look the basic fantasy numbers for the top six players at each position. You will be amazed at how many were undrafted.

We choose the top six players because most people play in twelve man leagues. Six players represent the top half of each position. We are taking the top six players based on runs created at each position and comparing it with their pre-draft rating according to Yahoo. If most standard leagues have twelve players and 24 rounds then only 288 players get drafted. As we go through the series, notice how many guys fall below 288. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: August 6th

Welcome to another edition of the daily fix here at the Fantasy Fix. For those of you that haven’t switched your accounts at Draftstreet over to Draftkings should go ahead and do so now. The funds will transfer over and you can begin playing immediately. Right now, we are in a phase where baseball is the only major sport going right now, but college football and the NFL are right around the corner.

If you are anything like me, your fantasy season may be going down the drain. Fantasy playoffs begin in less than a month for some leagues, so it might be a lost cause for some of you. With daily fantasy baseball you can crash and burn and come back fresh the next day. Keep your eye on Draftkings because it offers the same refresher for fantasy football fans.

We are playing the one dollar early double up contest today. There are four early games, so the choices are somewhat limited, but everyone has to deal with the same limitations. We will offer two lineups. The first lineup is the one I will be using today and the second one provides some reasonable alternatives.

Salary

FPPG

Opposing SP

C

Kurt Suzuki

3,400

6.1

Odrisamer Despaigne

1B

Brandon Moss

4,300

8.1

Jeremy Hellickson

2B

Kyle Seager

4,000

7.7

Julio Teheran

3B

Trevor Plouffe

3,800

7.2

Odrisamer Despaigne

SS

Danny Santana

4,000

8.6

Odrisamer Despaigne

OF

Alex Rios

4,000

7.0

Chris Sale

OF

Josh Reddick

4,300

6.5

Jeremy Hellickson

OF

Dayan Viciedo

3,500

6.1

Nick Tepesch

SP

Sonny Gray

9,500

20.5

Tampa Bay Rays

SP

Julio Teheran

9,100

21.5

Seattle Mariners

 

Salary

FPPG

Opposing SP

C

Derek Norris

3,700

6.5

Jeremy Hellickson

1B

Jose Abreu

5,500

10.0

Nick Tepesch

2B

Yangervis Solarte

3,400

6.2

Kevin Correia

3B

Chris Johnson

4,100

6.0

Chris Young

SS

Elvis Andrus

4,300

6.8

Chris Sale

OF

B.J. Upton

3,500

6.6

Chris Young

OF

Justin Upton

4,500

8.2

Chris Young

SP

Chris Sale

12,000

26.1

Texas Rangers

SP

Jeremy Hellickson

5,700

9.9

Oakland Athletics

2014 Fantasy Baseball: Is Asdrubal Cabrera on the move?

There is nothing more frustrating than being stuck in the middle. The Cleveland Indians are stuck in the middle. They made it to the playoffs last year during the last week of the season and they are standing in nearly identical shoes this year. They are competing with the Royals for second place in the AL Central division. Right now, second place in the AL Central would be good enough to fish come October.

They could add a major arm and potentially leapfrog enough teams to get back into the playoffs. However, their farm system is a bit thin and they could potentially deal a veteran and replenish that farm system. It is becoming increasingly obvious that Asdrubal Cabrera is on his way out. Francisco Lindor was just promoted to AAA, so he could potentially be called up to take over. They also could wait until the offseason to make the deal.

Before we look at potential suitors for Cabrera, we should take a look at what kind of player another team may be getting. Rating Cabrera creates problems. He was a Web Gem dandy a few years ago, but the defensive metrics are less than kind. With the proliferation of statistics available to average fans, there was a significant backlash against Cabrera. So, is he the star he looked like a few years ago or the bum that people seem to think he is? [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: July 30

Welcome to Trade Deadline Eve here at the Fantasy Fix. I’m sure most fans have hopes for something underneath the trade deadline tree this year for their team. In daily fantasy sports, everyday can be Christmas if you are lucky enough. As most of you know, we started the year with Draftstreet, but they merged with Draftkings a couple of weeks ago. If you played with Draftstreet, you can easily transfer your balance over to Draftkings by clicking on the link above and following the directions.

Like most platforms, Draftkings allows you to make last second changes to your lineup and this might be one of those days where it is necessary. There are a number of players rumored to be on the move and if they do get moved, it could affect their availability come game time. Like last time, I will be playing in the one dollar double up game. This time, only players in games beginning at 6:05 CST or later will be eligible.

As per usual, I will give you two potential lineups to go with. The first one is the one I am actually using during tomorrow’s contest and the other are reasonable alternatives. I am also including the player’s average fantasy points per game since that is the primary consideration for picking those players. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Baseball Value: Is Ben Zobrist on the move?

The second wild card has thrown a monkey wrench into the whole trade deadline process. It’s even caused some people to propose pushing the non-waiver deadline back into August. The problem is that too many teams think they are still in the hunt when the deadline comes this Thursday. The Rays are one of those teams caught in no man’s land. They have tradeable pieces in David Price and Ben Zobrist, but they are just fresh off a nine game winning streak that brought them within five games of the second wild card spot.
[Read more...]