Super Bowl XLVII Preview: Ravens vs. 49ers

Harbaugh Brothers Super Bowl

Photo credit: skykicker777

Come 6:30 p.m. EST Sunday all the predictions – experts’ and average Joes’ alike – will be rendered moot as Super Bowl XLVII kicks off. The game is full of storylines. Can Ray Lewis go out on top? Can Joe Flacco become “elite” – whatever that means? Can Colin Kapernick continue his dominant run? Will we all pass out due to the constant HARBAUGH HARBAUGH HARBAUGH! headlines?

Whether you’re just predicting a score, picking against the spread, or betting a money line or an over-under, only one Harbaugh will win.

Super Bowl betting indicates that the San Francisco 49ers as four-point favorites over the Baltimore Ravens with the Niners (-180) and the Ravens (+160). To win $100 betting on the Niners at -180 you’d have to bet $180, while to win $160 on the Ravens at +160 you’d only have to bet $100. The over-under is listed at 47.5, which seems low considering Baltimore has averaged 30 points a game in the playoffs while San Fran has averaged 36.5 in its two games.

So this should be a high-scoring game, right? Right. Even though both teams boast top-12 scoring defenses, they advanced to the Super Bowl by being able to put up points in bunches. The Ravens scored 21 points in just over 10 minutes of game-time in the AFC Championship game; In the Divisional game against the Broncos, Baltimore scored on pass plays of 32, 59 and 70 yards, respectively. San Francisco scored 45 against Green Bay and erased a 17-point deficit two weeks ago, outscoring the Falcons in the NFC Championship game 28-7 from the middle of the second quarter on.

Flacco’s been playing arguably the best ball of his career in these playoffs, throwing eight touchdowns with no interceptions. But he hasn’t been very efficient with his passes, only completing 55 percent of them. Kaepernick’s also played extremely well in his two playoff games, scoring five total times with only one interception, which occurred on the first pass of his first career playoff game. So he’s basically been perfect on 99 percent of plays.

Both team’s running games are going strong. The Niners have scored seven touchdowns on the ground in two playoff games and are averaging 6.3 yards a carry. The Ravens are averaging 4.3 yards a tote and have scored three rushing touchdowns in three games. Ray Rice is leading all players in postseason rushing yards, with 247. But he’s only rushing at 3.9 yards a carry. However, his teammate, rookie Bernard Pierce, is averaging 6.3 yards a carry on 27 attempts. The Niners’ ground game is just as effective. Frank Gore is averaging 104.5 yards in the playoffs and has three touchdowns, thanks a lot to the game-breaking ability of Kaepernick. While Gore is no slouch, Kaepernick, who’s averaging 11.2 yards a carry in the playoffs, has kept defenses honest with his throwing and running ability. He ran for 181 yards against the Packers, and while he only rushed for 21 yards against Atlanta the constant threat of his breaking off a long run on the read-option kept a Falcon defender occupied and allowed Gore to score two touchdowns. Another rookie, LaMichael James, has 55 yards on eight attempts and scored on an impressive run against the Falcons.

Both defenses warrant a mention, as both are very good with high-quality play-makers. Both have faired very well against very good offenses this postseason, but I’d give the edge to Aldon Smith and San Francisco. When facing Joe Flacco, the Niners won’t have to worry about the threat of him taking off and running for an 80-yard touchdown, which the Ravens will have to worry about when defending Kaepernick. And that’s what tilts my prediction for the Big Game toward San Francisco. Both teams’ receiving corps are fairly similar, and so are their running games. And while Flacco led an impressive comeback over the Broncos I think it’s safe to say that the game-tying touchdown pass to Jacoby Jones was more the Broncos defending poorly than the Ravens executing well offensively. While the 49ers falling behind doesn’t take away their best asset – Kaepernick – the Ravens falling behind by two scores and/or late somewhat takes away their best option in Rice. Kaepernick’s led comebacks against the Packers and Falcons, with his arm, his feet and just the fear of his feet, in dominating fashion, and he provides the Niners more ways to win whether they’re ahead or behind. San Francisco should win its sixth Super Bowl, 30-23.

2012 Fantasy Football End of Season Awards, Part 2: Alfred Morris Rookie of the Year?

PictureNow that the fake football season has come to an end, the team here at the Fix chimes in with our annual “End of Season Awards”

In part one, we looked at the biggest bust, waiver wire pickup of the year, biggest injury and “Mr. Reliable.”

Here in part two, we will name the “biggest tease”, “rookie of the year”, “MVP” and an early top ten for 2013. 

 

Biggest Tease by Brett Talley

Coming off their Week 4 bye, the Steelers were bringing back Rashard Mendenhall from injury.  Mendenhall was a big waiver wire pickup heading into week 5, and he delivered with 15 fantasy points.  As a result, he was added in most all leagues in which he wasn’t added the week before.  At something close to full ownership, Mendenhall proceeded to produce one of the lowest fantasy point totals for someone owned in that many leagues.  An injury limited him to one point in week 6 and kept him out the next four weeks. He also missed weeks 13, 14, and 15, and produced just eight fantasy points from week 6 on.

Rookie of the Year by Alan Harrison

The easy — and most popular — answer to this question is probably Robert Griffin III, or even Doug Martin. Both RG III and Martin deserve to be a finalist for this award, but the award goes to the rookie who earned the most value for his fantasy owners, Alfred Morris of the Washington Redskins.

The rookie out of Florida Atlantic entered the 2012 fantasy football season with an average draft position of 101.3, behind guys like Roy Helu, Peyton Hillis, Ben Tate, Kevin Smith and Cedric Benson, just to name a few. If he were drafted at all, Morris was a late-round flyer for those who saw his 107 yard, one touchdown effort against the Colts in the Redskins’ third preseason game. But Morris’ absence from the Skins’ fourth preseason game and Mike Shanahan’s history of shuffling running backs scared most potential suitors in another direction.

Fast forward through week 16 and Morris has rushed for 100 or more yards in six contests and less than 75 yards just twice. Morris’ 94.2 yards per game ranks him fourth best in the NFL behind the likes of Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Jamaal Charles. Morris is also third in the league in yards after contact (895), behind just Adrian Peterson and fellow rookie Doug Martin. Oh, and he landed in the endzone 10 times. Not bad, eh?

Sure your argument for Robert Griffin III and/or Doug Martin will be valid. But Alfred Morris will have the greatest fantasy gains of any player in 2012 — going from an ADP of 100+ to a likely first-round pick in 2013, potentially ahead of one or both of his fellow finalists.

Most Valuable Player by Alan Harrison

On December 26, 2011, Adrian Peterson landed on injured reserve after suffering a torn ACL and MCL in a Vikings victory over the Redskins. Most reall football heads — and to a lesser extent, fake football heads — had no clue how one would be walking in time for the upcoming season, let alone on the gridiron in pads, making cuts and playing at level higher than ever before. No analyst in football bet that AP would return in time for week one. 

Almost every fantasy analyst — including myself — suggested owners to pass on AP early on in their drafts due to the aforementioned injury. The uncertainties,  and the overwhelming agreement between analysts caused owners to shy away from Peterson, resulting in an ADP of 17.4.  

Boy were we wrong.

Through 15 games, Peterson has ripped off 11 touchdowns on 1,898 yards rushing while adding 215 yards receiving out of the backfield. “All Day” earned his fantasy owners 20+ points seven times this season, while finishing with less than double-digit fantasy points in just three starts (Indianapolis, Tennessee and Houston).

Peterson not only leads the league in rushing, but he’s second to just C.J. Spiller in average yards per carry (6.0) and tied with Spiller in average yards gained after contact (3.9).

Some may argue that Arian Foster, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers or Robert Griffin III earned consideration for the “fantasy”  MVP in 2012 — and their argument would likely be valid — but Adrian Peterson’s incredible on-filed performance and consistency, parlayed with his average draft position make him the TheFantasyFix.com’s MVP.

Top 10 for 2013 by Brett Talley

1.         Adrian Peterson

You wouldn’t be wrong to worry about the fact that AD is 4th among active backs in career attempts.  But as he’s proven this year, he’s a freak of nature, and the normal concerns don’t apply to him.

2.         C.J. Spiller

Assuming Fred Jackson isn’t back in Buffalo, Spiller could have a monster 2013.  Almost no one has more talent than Spiller.  He trails only AD in yards gained after contact, and he forces more missed tackles per touch than anyone else in the league by a wide margin.  Without Jackson stealing goal line carries, Spiller could be a fantasy beast.

3.         Doug Martin
4.         Arian Foster

It may seem crazy to have Martin ranked ahead of Arian Foster, but it is simply a matter of workload.  The Texans have tried to pump the brakes late in the season on the Fostermobile, but he’s still on pace for 350+ carries.  Martin is on pace or closer to 310.  So given the number of carries of each this season, and the fact that Martin is much younger, Martin should have the fresher legs in 2013.

5.         Calvin Johnson
6.         Aaron Rodgers

Running backs always dominate the tops of drafts simply because they’re in short supply.  But the running back train stops here because of two guys whose consistency makes the more valuable than scarcity makes the remaining backs.  After being the leading point scorer in 2011, Rodgers will finish anywhere from first to fourth this season.  And if Megatron outscores Brandon Marshall in week 17, he’ll be the first receiver to lead the league in fantasy points for consecutive seasons since Marvin Harrison did it almost a decade ago.

7.         Alfred Morris
8.         Trent Richardson

These rookie running backs deserve to be drafted in the first round over guys like Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, and Ray Rice simply because they are rookies.  Lynch and Rice have over 1,200 carries and are 9th and 11th among active backs in career attempts.  Charles doesn’t have as many carries, but he wasn’t great this year coming off his ACL injury as he didn’t force many missed tackles and didn’t get much yardage after contact.  Meanwhile, Morris and Richardson obviously have fewer career carries, and each was top ten in missed tackles forced per touch this year.

9.         Brandon Marshall
10.       A.J. Green

These guys have proven that you don’t need another good receiver on the team to take some of the pressure and allow you to put up fantasy points.  The next best receiver for the Bears (Alshon Jeffrey) has just 44 fantasy points this year.  And the next best guy on the Bengals (Andrew Hawkins) has only 70 fantasy points.  As long as these guys remain the only real options in their passing attacks, they are worthy of first round picks.

Agree or disagree with the above awards? Let us know who you would assign these awards to in the comments below!

Don’t forget to check out part one of our “2012 Fantasy Football, End of Season Awards.”


2012 Fantasy Football End of Season Awards, Part 1: Arian Foster Was Mr. Reliable

PictureNow that the fake football season has come to an end, the team here at the Fix chimes in with our annual “End of Season Awards.” 

In part one, we look at the biggest bust, waiver wire pickup of the year, biggest injury and “Mr. Reliable.”

Biggest Bust (non injury) – Matt Forte by Josh Kay

Matt Forte came into the season with question marks, due to the newly acquired Michael Bush. However, all owners of Matt Forte from previous years will tell you that a touchdown vulture does not necessarily spell any trouble for Forte’s production, as most of his value, especially in PPR, comes from his receiving yardage accumulated. For whatever reason, Forte incredibly, has not been active at all in the passing game this year (based on his normal standards). Forte has had 70+ targets, 475+ receiving yards, and 50+ catches in every single season of his career, and has career lows this year in all 3 categories. If Brandon Marshall, who has had an unbelievable year, is the culprit, it doesn’t make all that much sense. Sure Marshall is an incredible talent who deserves a ton of targets, but none of them are really in the short passing game, and the drop-off in attention for Forte in the passing game was hard to for-see. Whatever the case may be, he’s been an enormous bust for anyone who took a chance on him, and especially in PPR leagues where his ADP was over 2 rounds higher in most leagues.

Waiver Wire Pickup of the Year by Ilyn Yeh

While Danario Alexander laid a goose-egg in week 15 that might have ended a few playoff runs, those owners probably wouldn’t have been in the playoffs if not for the numbers Alexander was able to put up from week 9 on.  In a year where WR consistency has been hard to find because of injury (Nicks, Nelson, Harvin, Brown) or terrible quarterback play (Fitzgerald, Bowe), many owners were scouring the waiver wire almost weekly to find a wideout to insert into their starting lineup.  

Alexander arrived on the scene on Thursday Night Football in week 9.  In the first quarter he caught an 11 yard out and followed that up with a 30 yard reception and a 20 yard catch in the third.  His final stat line was a modest three catches on three targets for 61 yards.  But by this time everyone knew Robert Meachem wasn’t the answer and the depth of the targets that Alexander got made him intriguing.  The following week was his “breakout” game where he caught five of seven targets for 134 yards and a touchdown.  He kept it up the following four weeks when he had games of 7 catches for 96 yards with 2 TDs, 5 catches for 74 yards,  6 catches for 102 yards, and 7 catches for 88 yards with two TDs.

Mr. Reliable by Kevin Roberts of NFLSoup.com

Let’s take a look back at 2012 and identify who the most reliable fantasy option was during the season. And I don’t mean “reliable” as in a crazy run of awesome games like Adrian Peterson or Calvin Johnson has had. No, as sweet as those record-chasers have been over the past six plus weeks, they aren’t Mr. Reliable in my eyes.

It’s not even a quarterback.. No, because even Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton had their dry spells. In fact, with several of the so-called elite passers, they had downright awful runs, and for where you drafted them, they were hosing you down pretty good.

Instead, Mr. Reliable for 2012 is none other than the consensus #1 overall pick in the majority of fantasy football leagues – Houston Texans running back Arian Foster.  Easy call, right? I know, I’m not going out on much of a limb, but the numbers don’t tell lies or play games. The simple fact is, on the whole, Foster’s 2012 season has been the most consistent and the most reliable.

Foster scored a touchdown in NINE STRAIGHT GAMES to start the year and in 12 of the first 14.

And the games in which he didn’t score? He still killed it in the yardage department, as he ran for 165 yards in week 15, and piled on 92 total yards against the Jaguars in week 11. That means that at his very worst, Foster got you a 9.2 point outing.

Admittedly, Foster completely crapped the bed in week 16, but these facts still remain: 16 total touchdowns, seven 100+ rushing yard games, 373 total touches, two games under 10 points. three games without a touchdown.  Foster has been the most consistent/reliable fantasy option, and has completely lived up to his #1 overall selection.

Most Significant Injury by Brett Talley

No injury cost owners more fantasy points than Percy Harvin’s ankle injury in week 9.  Prior to the injury, Harvin averaged 12.25 fantasy points per game over eight games.  Had he maintained that pace, he would have given his owners almost 100 additional fantasy points and finished the season as a top five receiver.  If we enter 2013 with no lingering concerns about his ankle, Harvin should be drafted as a top ten receiver.  But because he didn’t play the last eight games, he may be undervalued and not drafted as the top 30 player that he is.

Agree or disagree with the above awards? Let us know who you would assign these awards to in the comments below!


2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Quarterback Rankings

Week 17 rankings by position: QB | RB WR | TE
Byes: None

2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Running Back Rankings

Week 17 rankings by position: QB | RB WR | TE
Byes: None

2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Wide Receiver Rankings

Week 17 rankings by position: QB | RB WR | TE
Byes: None

2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Tight End Rankings

Week 17 rankings by position: QB | RB WR | TE 
Byes: None

2012 Fantasy Football, Week 16 Target Practice: A Giants’ Disappointment

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A.J. Green

Welcome to week 16's “Target Practice,” where we investigate the outliers in the past week’s targets and what they could potentially mean going forward.

He was targeted how many times?

A.J. Green (WR | Cincinnati Bengals | 18 targets) At this point is anyone really surprised to see Green atop this list? No, well, you shouldn’t. Green finished week 16 with a season-high ten catches on 18 targets for 116 yards, but failed to find the end zone for the fourth time in the last five weeks. Green has solidified himself as a top three wide receiver in the game and potentially a first round pick in your 2013 fantasy draft. 

Mike Williams (WR | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 targets) Tampa Mike Williams put forth his best effort of the season on Sunday, reeling in seven passes on 17 targets for 136 yards and a score. Those still playing fantasy football in week 17 shouldn’t expect an encore performance in from Williams though as the Bucs face the Falcons who surrender the fourth fewest fantasy points per game (17.93) to opposing pass catchers.

Calvin Johnson (WR | Detroit Lions | 16 targets) Right, so Megatron didn’t find paydirt in week 16, but he did rack up 225 yards on 11 receptions en route to breaking Jerry Rice’s single season yards receiving mark of 1,848. If Johnson is on your roster, and you’re playing for a championship in week 17, you’re obviously starting him. Johnson should be a top five pick in 2013.

Jason Witten (TE | Dallas Cowboys | 8 targets) Witten hauled in six passes on eight looks from Tony Romo for 60 yards on Sunday. The Cowboys’ tight end has been a beast in points-per-reception formats this year. He leads all tight ends with 103 receptions on 138 targets for 983 yards with one game left to play.  

Wait, did I read that right? That’s all?

Sidney Rice (WR | Seattle Seahawks | 2 targets) Rice hauled in just one catch for 14 yards on two targets against the 49ers. Despite seven scores in 2012, Rice failed to eclipse the 100 yard receiving mark in any game this season.

Hakeem Nicks (WR | New York Giants | 2 targets) Zero catches. Zero. It was a tough season for Hakeem Nicks and his fantasy owners. And although he will probably be drafted as a top 20 wide receiver in 2013, he will be hard to trust.

Victor Cruz (WR | New York Giants | 2 targets) Once again, no salsa for Mr. Cruz for the second week in a row. Eli Manning looked for Cruz just four times in week 16 — connecting on three of those targets — for just 21 yards. Heart breaking for fantasy owners.

Tony Gonzalez (TE | Atlanta Falcons | 2 targets) A goose egg from old reliable in Championship Week is not what most expected — maybe with the exception of our own Brett Talley. Matt Ryan connected with his tight end just once on two targets for nine yards in a victory over the Lions. Gonzalez would be a top five tight end option in 2013 should he choose to give it another go.

Most of the advanced statistics taken from our friends at ProFootballFocus.com.

Written by Alan Harrison for TheFantasyFix.com. Follow Alan’s rants on Twitter @TheFantasyFix .


2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Free Agent Fix: Roll the Dice With Dennis Pitta

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Dennis Pitta

Maybe your starter is banged up.  Maybe they have a bad matchup.  Whatever the case, you’re looking for a quick Fix, and we’ve got you covered.  Every week, we’ll scan the matchups and provide you with two or three favorable options that are available in the majority of Fantasy Leagues.  With your season winding down, the Free Agent Fix serves up a TE on the rise and a defensive unit with huge Week 17 potential.

San Diego Chargers DEF/ST

Fantasy football is a game of matchups, and there are few matchups more appealing to a defense than a home date with the Raiders.  Throw in the fact that it will be either Matt Leinart or Terrelle Pryor under center for Oakland, and you’ve got all the ingredients for a huge afternoon.

In Week 16, the Chargers sacked Jets’ QB Greg McElroy 11 times in his first NFL start.  They’ve registered eight takeaways over their last four games, and have been tough on the run all year, allowing just 95.1 YPG.  That doesn’t bode well for an Oakland team that will undoubtedly ask Darren McFadden to carry a heavy load on Sunday.  That’s going to be a tall order.  We expect the box to be stacked all day, making life miserable for DMC before San Diego is forced to go to the air.  The turnovers will follow.

San Diego is owned in only 49% of Yahoo leagues.  Feel free to add them, and start them with confidence.


Dennis Pitta, TE, Baltimore Ravens

Dennis Pitta has had a solid year at a position where your options are often limited.  His only problem has been consistency.  Three times this year, Pitta was held to one catch or less.  Back on September 27, the Browns shut him out entirely.  That kind of feast-or-famine production can be bad for business, but we like what we’ve seen the past few weeks enough to think Pitta is worth a roll of the dice.  He has averaged 5/76/1 in the Ravens’ last three games, and is still available in 55% of Yahoo leagues.

TE Ed Dickson returned in Week 16 after missing four weeks with a knee injury, but we don’t see Dickson as a real threat to Pitta’s opportunities.  Yes, we’re aware that Pitta managed just five targets against the Giants last week.  We attribute that more to the incredible success that Baltimore was having in the running game and picking on CB Corey Webster downfield.  They’ll face a much better run defense in Cincinnati on Sunday, which should open the door for a strong effort from Pitta.


Written by Aaron Schuldiner exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com. For more great fantasy analysis, follow Aaron on Twitter @SheaLivesOn.

2012 Fantasy Football, Week 17 Injury Report: Updates on Foster, Richardson & Forte

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Arian Foster

It’s the final week of the season. Most leagues are done with their championship game and are in offseason mode. However, for those still playing, here is the final update of the season. I will focus on the new injuries from the past week.

The following players were placed on I.R. by their teams this week or have little to no chance of playing this week – Maurice Jones-Drew, Jordy Nelson, Rob Gronkoswki, and Rashad Jennings. Most of these players have shown up in one or more of my injury reports over the last few weeks.

Arian Foster (RB | Houston Texans 100% in Y!) – Foster left Week 16’s loss with what was initially called an illness. The illness turned out to be an irregular heartbeat. Foster has been cleared to return to practice after tests.

Fantasy Spin: Certainly a scary moment for Foster, but it looks like he is good to go for Week 17 against the Colts. Make sure that you own Ben Tate as insurance for Foster.

Trent Richardson (RB | Cleveland Browns 99% in Y!) – Richardson suffered yet another injury in Week 16 – this one to his ankle. Full testing has not come back yet on the ankle, but Richardson stated that his ankle isn’t broken.

Fantasy Spin: If you are counting on Richardson for Week 17, look elsewhere. Richardson is the rock of the Browns franchise and they are better served getting him fully healthy for next season than trotting him out for a meaningless final game. Look for Montario Hardesty to take over early down work with Chris Ogbonnaya working on third downs.

Matt Forte (RB | Chicago Bears 99% in Y!) – Forte re-injured his ankle in Week 16’s win over the Cardinals.

Fantasy Spin: Khalil Bell had one more carry than Forte on Sunday, but ran for 56 fewer yards. Forte says he’ll play in Week 17, but I imagine he’ll be less than 100%. Bell makes a desperation flex play in deep leagues should Forte miss the match.

Randall Cobb (WR| Green Bay Packers 95% in Y!) – Cobb injured his ankle in Week 16’s blowout of the Titans. He left the game and did not return. His status for Week 17 is not clear at this time.

Fantasy Spin: Cobb has been a find for owners this year being the perhaps the most valuable Packers’ WR this season. Should he miss time, it’s unclear where the Packers will go. Jordy Nelson could return, but I’m not sure the Packers would risk Nelson. James Jones would see more targets along with Greg Jennings and we could see Donald Driver make an appearance.

Vernon Davis (TE | San Francisco 49ers 93% in Y!) – Davis suffered a minor concussion according to coach Jim Harbaugh. He is questionable to suit up for Week 17.

Fantasy Spin: Davis will have to work through the NFL’s concussion protocol and is no guarantee to make it through in time for Sunday’s game. Delanie Walker will fill in for Davis and could be worth a look in PPR leagues.

Heath Miller (TE | Pittsburgh Steelers 92% in Y!) – Miller suffered a torn ACL (and damage to other ligaments) in the Steelers loss to the Bengals.

Fantasy Spin: Miller’s career season ends a game early and he’ll need to work hard to be ready for next season. The 30 year old could be done as a fantasy-relevant TE.

Anquan Boldin – (WR | Baltimore Ravens 84% in Y!) – Boldin suffered what Coach John Harbaugh is calling a ‘bruised’ shoulder in the Ravens win in Week 16.

Fantasy Spin: Boldin’s injury certainly didn’t look like just a bruise when it happened. That said, Boldin has a reputation for playing through injuries. If he doesn’t make the Week 17 start, look for Jacoby Jones to pick up additional playing time.

Cecil Shorts (WR | Jacksonville Jaguars 76% in Y!) – Shorts suffered a concussion after a hit in the fourth quarter of Week 16 and was placed on injured reserve ending his season.

Fantasy Spin: Shorts has been quite a pleasant surprise for the Jags this year. Shorts suffered two concussions in the past three weeks so that is a concern for fantasy players (and Shorts) for next season.

Brandon Pettigrew (TE | Detroit Lions 68% in Y!) – Pettigrew’s ankle is still troubling him and he missed Week 16.

Fantasy Spin: Pettigrew will likely finish out the season on the sidelines and be replaced by Tony Scheffler in the lineup. Look to another team for help at TE should you need it.

Carson Palmer (QB | Oakland Raiders 60% in Y!) – Palmer suffered broken ribs and a bruised lung in Week 16. He is done for the season.

Fantasy Spin: Palmer had been fantasy gold in the middle of the season as he had to throw the ball all over the yard. Now, the Raiders will look to Matt Leinart and Terrelle Pryor to man the QB position. It looks like Pryor will be the Tim Tebow to Matt Leinart’s Mark Sanchez. Neither is worthy of rostering.

Jonathan Stewart (RB | Carolina Panthers 57% in Y!) – Stewart was listed as questionable this week, but failed to suit up for the Panthers.

Fantasy Spin: Stewart will likely sit Week 17 as there is no reason for the Panthers to put Stewart at risk of re-injury.

Fantasy Spin: Weeden certainly looked injured and I’d be surprised to see him in Week 17. If he doesn’t play, Colt McCoy (who came on in relief) would take Weeden’s spot in the lineup, but should likely stay far away from yours.

Scott Chandler (TE | Buffalo Bills 35% in Y!) – Chandler suffered a torn ACL in Week 16. He’ll fight to get healthy for next season.

Fantasy Spin: Chandler has shown flashes this season, but this injury likely relegates Chandler to the recycling bin of fantasy relevance.

Kendall Wright (WR | Tennesse Titans 33% in Y!) – Wright missed Week 16’s debacle against the Packers with a rib injury.

Fantasy Spin: Wright has been solid this season in spite of poor QB play. He should be back this week and looks like an intriguing dynasty leagues next season.

Davone Bess (WR | Miami Dolphins 32% in Y!) – Bess missed a second straight game with a back injury. He hasn’t practiced during that time period.

Fantasy Spin: With Week 17 upon us, Bess will likely have to practice at some point to be able to play this week. It’s not clear he will be able to do so. Armon Binns filled in for Bess and would do so again this week.

Alex Green (RB | Green Bay Packers 27% in Y!) – Green missed Week 16 with a concussion. He looks ready to return in Week 17.

Fantasy Spin: The Packers’ backfield got just a bit more crowded with Ryan Grant showing up again. Green will likely come back to a timeshare again, but this time with Grant instead of James Starks.

Mario Manningham (WR | San Francisco 49ers 20% in Y!) – Manningham tore his ACL (and potentially other ligaments) in the Niners loss to Seattle on Sunday night.

Fantasy Spin: Manningham is done for the season and the start of next year is in doubt. The 49ers will turn to Randy Moss and rookie A.J. Jenkins to replace Manningham.

Mike Nugent (K | Cincinnati Bengals 14% in Y!) – Nugent missed yet another game as the Bengals defeated the Steelers.

Fantasy Spin: Josh Brown has replaced Nugent and it is unclear if he will return during the regular season. Look elsewhere for kicking help.

James Starks (RB | Green Bay Packers 13% in Y!) – Starks missed Week 16 with a knee injury.

Fantasy Spin: Starks has been missing, but the Packers haven’t missed him. I could see the Pack putting Starks on I.R. especially after Ryan Grant’s performance this past week.

Brandon Weeden (QB | Cleveland Browns 13% in Y!) – Weeden injured his shoulder in Week 16 and did not return. His status for this week is unclear.

Chris Ivory (RB | New Orleans Saints 10% in Y!) – Ivory missed another game with a hamstring injury.

Fantasy Spin: Even if Ivory is healthy, it’s not clear where his playing time would come from. Cut ties with him in all leagues. He’s not worthy of a dynasty spot.

Nick Foles (QB | Philadelphia Eagles 9% in Y!) – Foles broke his hand in the Eagles loss to Washington. He is out for the season.

Fantasy Spin: Just when you thought you wouldn’t see Michael Vick in an Eagles uniform again, it looks like he will suit up for a final game. Vick is a sneaky play this week against a Giants defense that looks disinterested.

Tony Moeaki (TE | Kansas City Chiefs 3% in Y!) – Moeaki missed Week 16 with a concussion. His status for Week 17 depends on passing his concussion tests.

Fantasy Spin: Moeaki might be good. We’ll probably never know as he’s hampered by poor QB play. The Chiefs offense is a tire fire and Jamaal Charles is the only player worth owning. There will be no TE help here.

Tom Crabtree (TE | Green Bay Packers 1% in Y!) – Crabtree missed Week 16 for the Packers with a hamstring injury.

Fantasy Spin: Crabtree shows up once or twice a season. However, the Packers have Jermichael Finley and the dynasty prospect D.J. Williams at TE. Crabtree won’t be missed in the fantasy realm.

Jordan Cameron (TE | Cleveland Browns 0% in Y!) – Cameron suffered a concussion in Week 16.

Fantasy Spin: Cameron has a ton of upside and athleticism, but hasn’t been able to translate that into production. He is done for this season, but should be on your radar for next.

Mohamed Massaquoi (WR | Cleveland Browns 0% in Y!) – Massaquoi suffered a knee injury during practice this week and subsequently missed the Browns Week 16 matchup. He was placed on injured reserve this week.

Fantasy Spin: Massaquoi couldn’t stay healthy this season and looks to have been passed on the depth chart by Josh Gordon and Greg Little. Even Travis Benjamin has shown flashes. Massaquoi may be looking for a new team next year as he heads to free agency.

Written by Chris Garosi for TheFantasyFix.com. You can follow Chris on Twitter @chrisgarosi. You can find more of his work at District Sports Page.