We’ll get going at about 11:00 a.m. Eastern on Sunday morning. Go ahead and submit your lineup questions, #DFS questions, or any other questions/comments you have. Please leave your questions on the chat box immediately below this paragraph and not in the comments section at the bottom of the page. Looking forward to it!
Below I’ve got what I think are the best plays for Week 14 DraftKings contests. But first I’d like to discuss how I think you should handle using multiple lineups and multiple contest entries.
I used to have this idea that I could pick “safer” teams to use in 50/50 contests where basically half of the entrants double their entry fee. And I would take more risks in top-heavy payout contests. But I’ve found that’s not the case. My “safe” lineups often turn out to be my most productive lineups. So now I enter all my lineups in both types of contests.
I like to get about two-thirds of my money in 50/50s and the other third in top-heavy payout contests. I usually enter each lineup in one of each. If I enter a $10 50/50, then I’ll throw that lineup in a $5 top-heavy payout contest.
Alright, to the picks. [Read more...]
Fantasy Football playoffs have arrived! Week 14 Monday Night Football has a lot of fantasy players in the mix, and there is no doubt owners will be glued to the screen for this one to see if they live or die in their matchups. The Windy City will host some Cowboys Monday Night as Dallas heads to Chicago to take on the Bears. This game has the makings of a shootout, with both defenses leaving much to be desired, and both with several impressive offensive weapons. Although the cold will be a factor, there are must starts for both teams at all positions in your lineups this week with the exception of the team defenses which should be avoided like the plague. I think the Cowboys will walk away with a close victory in a high scoring game. Let’s take a look at the players that will close out week 14 for your fantasy teams! You can safely start all of the likely owned players for both teams. This should be an offensive heavy game from all angles.
The quarterbacks this week are both excellent matchups against the opposing defenses. However the forecast in Chicago is 22 degrees, which will certainly affect both passers no matter how you slice it. With that said, I still would have no problem starting either quarterback this week if they are your guy. Josh McCown is likely a backup on your roster but even he is matched up as a QB-1 this week against the depleted Dallas defense. Tony Romo has cooled off in November, as we have seen his QB rating fall by month from 105 in September, to 98 in October, to 84 in November. Obviously this is not a good trend. However the Bears defense has been so terrible that you can start Romo Monday night without hesitation. He should reach his projected totals.
I think the running game on both ends will be big play makers in this one. The below freezing temperatures could lead the offenses to a stronger push with the ground game which will be huge payouts for fantasy owners of Matt Forte and Demarco Murray. Yes, Matt Forte hasn’t had a rushing touchdown in 5 games but he is an elite runner and a must start. Demarco Murray feasted on the Raiders in the red zone on Thanksgiving. He only averaged 3.7 yards on 17 carries but he caught 5 passes for just under 40 yards receiving, and had 3 touchdowns. He is a must start against arguably the worst rushing defense in the NFL. The Bears give up the most rushing yards per game, and most average yards per carry. The stars are aligned for Murray to have a huge game Monday night.
As I mentioned before, the cold weather could impact the passing game, which then of course affects your receivers targets. We can talk about that all day but there is no way you are not starting any of the fantasy relevant receivers in this game. Dez Bryant is one of the best receivers in football and is your WR-1. Brandon Marshall has had quiet games in 2 of the Bears last 3 contests, but with nearly one thousand yards receiving and 9 touchdowns, he is a top 5 fantasy receiver. Those two guys are obviously in your lineups this week, but then there is Alshon Jeffery who went on a tear last week for just under 250 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is just as much of a WR-1 as Bryant and Marshall, and is also a must start against the beat up Dallas secondary.
As far as tight ends go, Jason Witten is a tier-1 tight end, especially against the Bears’ defense. Martellus Bennett has flashed some great fantasy weeks, and can be considered a top 10 tight end. Dallas gives up the fourth most points to the tight end position according to “Yahoo! Sports”, so by all means plug him in your lineup.
All of the hype I have been giving to the offenses for this game says all I need to say about the defenses. Neither defense should be touched this week, or in any week for that matter.
THE BOTTOM LINE: The bottom line is that you can safely start Romo, McCown, Forte, Murray, Marshall, Jeffery, Bryant, Witten, and Bennett and expect to at the very least hit the projected points. I think Murray is going to have a monster game. You are staying away from both team defenses. Ultimately, the Cowboys are going to win because they have the better quarterback, and overall better team, but it should be a high scoring game on a frigid Chicago night. Good luck to your fantasy squad, I know you’ll be watching this game to close out the fantasy playoff week!
Since taking over for an injured Michael Vick in early October, Nick Foles has been on a historic passing rampage. He stands 1st in NFL QB Rating (125.2), 1st in PFF QB Rating (100.07), 1st in yards per attempt (9.1), and the feat to top all feats, 19 touchdowns against ZERO interceptions.
An Eagles offense that was expected to be run-dominant under Chip Kelly has transformed into a potent, balanced attack. Their run/pass distribution is nearly 50/50, with 371 rushing plays and 386 pass attempts on the ledger. With that said, Foles is not exactly dropping back and slinging the ball all over the field – in his six starts he’s averaging a shade under 28 pass attempts per game – he’s just been otherworldly efficient. When he throws underneath his accurate arm gives receivers a chance to catch in stride and rack up YAC (52% of yards in air). And when he goes vertical – shall we say… too good?
News and Notes
- After suffering a scary concussion (and losing a touchdown) Thanksgiving night, Le’Veon Bell has practiced this week and passed all the mandatory concussion tests needed to play Sunday against Miami, reports ESPN. Bell says he hasn’t experienced any post-concussion symptoms – although it’s hard to tell how truthful athletes are in regards to concussions – and he expects a full workload Sunday. The rookie is averaging 94 total yards and 3.5 catches a game this season, and he should do just fine against Miami’s 25th-ranked defense against running backs.
Below are the guys I like or dislike in week 14 compared to the other experts on FantasyPros.com. I’m focusing on guys that are actually on that start/sit bubble. There’s no need to tell you I’m higher on Ray Rice when I have him ranked #13 and the expert consensus rank (ECR) has him ranked #17. Both rankings tell you to start him.
Some of the names discussed below are Russell Wilson, Steven Jackson, Antonio Brown, Eric Decker and several others.
Russell Wilson / at San Francisco / ECR: 12 / My rank: 6
I can’t believe that my ranking of Wilson makes me the highest on him this week. I understand the hesitation of the other rankers; San Francisco is a really tough matchup. But I think we’re at the point with Wilson where he is a must start regardless of his matchup. The only other quarterbacks in that group are Peyton, Rodgers, Brees, Cam and Stafford with Foles starting to possibly enter that territory. Not coincidentally, Wilson and all those other names are all the names at the top of the yards per attempt leaderboard (with the exception of Cam). As Michael Salfino pointed out this preseason, YPA is an excellent model for QB success. If you added McCown or Foles to back up Wilson at some point, I could see benching him for one of those guys. But that’s just because those are guys are producing and have excellent matchups, not because I’m scared of Wilson.
Welcome to TheFantasyFix.com’s week 14 fantasy football rankings. Here you’ll find the staff’s composite fantasy football quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end, defense and kicker rankings.
Feel free to leave your sit/start questions in the comments below, but know that we will likely defer to our rankings to determine who we’d suggest. If you do leave your questions, be sure to leave all pertinent league information along with your questions.
Best of luck in week 14!
Welcome to TheFantasyFix.com’s week 14 fantasy football waiver wire. We’ll be looking at players like Josh McCown, Julian Edelman, Brian Hartline and Ladarius Green that could make a positive impact on your team in week 14 and beyond.
Before we get to this week’s potential waiver wire pickups, it’s important to note that I indicate below each name what type of waiver priority I would use on said player as well as the amount of FAAB I’d be willing to use to acquire their services. Despite the lack of high profile names that may be available this late in the season, I continue to be aggressive, not only to build the depth of my own team for a playoff run, but to prevent other teams from adding crucial pieces where possible.
You may notice that a few of these names are making their second appearance on this list, but that’s because those players are not yet owned in as many leagues as they should be. If you have any additional questions, please feel free to leave them in the comments below.
Key: I – Player missed game or left game early due to injury. S – Player was suspended for game. A – Player was inactive. B – Bye week. Most notable players who missed a game due to injury or benching are marked with an S or A. If a lesser-known player was inactive, etc., I just put a 0 in his weekly spot because I don’t know if that player was just inactive, hurt, etc. Ownership numbers are posted in parentheses next to notable players’ names, with ESPN first followed by Yahoo!
Welcome to the fourteenth entry of The Fix’s Fantasy Football Injury Report. Each week I (@Rich_Migs) will cover several key fantasy football related injuries. The idea is not to cover every football injury, but instead cover the notable ones that have direct fantasy implications. As the season continues, the report will address the most recent injuries and their fantasy football related consequences.
I will try to avoid repeating names too often from week to week unless there is news to report. We are entering Week 11 and if you would like to see the injury list for Week 13, please click here. You can see all my injury reports (and my other work) by following my archive here.
For the most part, we avoided devastating fantasy injuries in week fourteen. A good thing for owners since many of them begin their playoffs. Phew. [Read more...]