2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 8 Running Backs

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The following values are my recommended running back plays for Week 7 at DraftKings – the best daily fantasy sports site on the Internet. Here are the scoring settings for running backs, and if you have any more questions about DraftKings or fantasy football in general ask us on Twitter @TheFantasyFix or @44AMiller.

Expensive

Matt Forte – $8,800 at New England – This matchup could hardly be better for one of the hottest backs in the league. Forte has at least 109 total yards in each of his last four games, and he’s averaging over eight catches a game. He’s also scored five times in his past three games. New England’s allowing 4.5 yards per rush. They’ve allowed four players to rush for at least 92 yards in only seven games, and opposing backs are averaging over five catches a game against the Pats. All the good things.

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2014 Fantasy Football: Week 7 Monday Night Football Preview

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Arian Foster

Monday October 20, 2014
Houston Texans @ Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a game we are excited to watch. There are a lot of huge names and major fantasy implications in this one. J.J. Watt will try to wreak havoc on Big Ben and the Steelers offense on one side of the ball. On the other side of the ball the Steelers will attempt to slow down the Texans’ trio of stars. If Ryan Fitzpatrick can manage to have a decent game, Houston could pull off the road win against a battered Pittsburgh defense. This game is sure to determine a ton of fantasy matchups on Monday night.

Houston Texans: Key Players

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick

Fitzpatrick is the one thing really holding this Texans offense back. They have an elite RB and tremendous WRs. Bill O’Brien continues to answer questions about Fitzpatrick remaining their starting QB. Unfortunately, he is their best option.
Verdict: Sit Fitzpatrick. He would be borderline in a three QB league. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 7 Quarterbacks

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Today I will look at six quarterbacks for week seven of the NFL season.  I have divided them in to three tiers, and given a brief explanation to why I think they are worthy of your lineups.  It is pretty straightforward and hopefully will help make your decisions simpler. 

Tier One – Elite 

Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos, $9,000 – Manning takes on the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday night on prime time television.  This game has more at stake personally for Manning than any non-divisional game.  Manning is two touchdowns away from tying Brett Favre’s record and three from breaking it.  Let’s face even on bad day’s Manning has a high floor and should always be considered for your lineups whether it’s GPP or cash.

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers, $8,800 – Another quarterback with a high floor is Rodgers.  This weekend he faces the Carolina Panthers at home.  The Panthers are polar opposites of last seasons defense, and have been giving up a lot of points.  Like Manning I love Rodgers for both GPP’s and cash – although I think Rodgers might be a little more contrarian.

Tier Two – Value 

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions, $7,000 – Even without Megatron I see value here.  Stafford will go toe to toe with Drew Brees in Detroit this Sunday – which might not be the biggest clash of titans with both their go-to-guys questionable to play on Sunday.  The reason I see value in Stafford is that the Saints defense is atrocious, Stafford should be able to make Ryan Broyles look like the second coming of Megatron.

Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals, $7,300 – Palmer coming back last Sunday was a pleasant surprise for everyone but myself (I left Drew Stanton in a bunch of DraftKings entries).  Palmer draws a favorable matchup against his former team the Oakland Raiders, and should be a suitable play for GPP’s.  Palmer has been pretty consistent in both the games he has started, and has made everyone around him better.

Tier Three – Contrarian 

Brian Hoyer, Cleveland Browns, $5,600 – Hoyer has been pretty decent thus far this season, and Jordan Cameron seems to be healthy which gives him a significant bump in value.  But the most important intangible is that the Browns are playing the Jaguars.  At $5,600 Hoyer creates major cap relief for you, and you can build a pretty solid lineup.  On a side note I have seen a few “pros” use him in cash games.

Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins, $7,400 – Cousins doesn’t get any respect whatsoever.  I am not sure that is fair.  But let’s put all biases aside and look what Blake Bortles did to the Titans defense last week with far inferior tools at disposal – 336 passing yards, 69% completion rating, one TD and one INT for 23.24 DraftKings points, and this was at Tennessee.

2014 Fantasy Football Podcast: Week 7 DraftKings Strategy

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Russell Wilson

Below is a podcast with me discussing daily fantasy strategy for DraftKings in Week 7. It’s about 20 minutes long. I discuss the best plays at each position as well as my general method for researching daily fantasy and making selections. My cheat sheet with projections and the cost per projected point for each played is embedded below. You can also find the podcast on iTunes by searching for ‘thefantasyfix’ in the search bar.

Sign up for DraftKings through us, and DraftKings will match your initial deposit up to $600. By using this link, you’ll also receive a free one-year subscription to our Front Office premium content package.

This is a big week at DK with their third Millionaire Maker event of the year taking place. Join up here.

2014 Fantasy Football: Week 7 QB and D/ST Streaming Options

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Carson Palmer

Defense/Special Teams streaming has been a popular option for a while now for fantasy owners. But quarterback streaming has begun being put into use just recently, it seems. As the demand grows we must meet it with a supply of fantasy articles. Each week I’ll highlight as many appealing quarterbacks and defenses fantasy owners can pick up for that week to stream in their starting lineups. As the season progresses, more options will appear as teams and players are dropped and we discover who’s real and who’s not. If you have any questions about these picks or fantasy football in general, hit me up on Twitter @44AMiller.

Quarterback (Quarterbacks on bye: Nick Foles, Mike Glennon)

Andy Dalton (53%, 74%) at Indianapolis – Indy ranks seventh in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks, but look at who the Colts have faced at QB: Manning, Foles, Bortles, Henne, Whitehurst, Mettenberger, Flacco, Fitzpatrick. They gave up 600 yards and four touchdowns combined to Manning and Foles, but have luckily faced mostly should-be backups since then. That’s why their ranking is so good. Dalton is better than most if not all those quarterbacks except Manning obviously, and without A.J. Green last week he had the best game of his season: 323 yards and two touchdowns, plus 25 rushing yards. This figures to be another shootout as the Cincy defense isn’t playing well and the Colts are leading the league in points. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football: Buying Beckham, Selling Torrey

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Torrey Smith
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Buying Odell Beckham Jr.

With Victor Cruz out for the season, the Giants will start turning to Odell Beckham Jr. to be a huge catalyst in the offense. Rueben Randle will act as the top receiver, but he was already receiving a ton of targets, and I would be surprised if he sees a huge boost in passes thrown to him. Currently Randle has been thrown to 49 times, which is more than Alshon Jeffery, for example.

Beckham will be a target frequently, and his size and athleticism fit well for the Giants to attempt to replicate what they had in Cruz. Obviously, having both of them on the field at the same time would be ideal, but I think Beckham is going to be very valuable in both real life and fantasy moving forward. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football: Week 7 Gold Mine

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Benjamin Cunningham
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Is it just me or has this season gone by faster than ever before? Just me? Okay! As we enter into the sevent week of the NFL season the pressure is starting to set in. If you aren’t at least 2 – 4 with only about seven weeks left in the fantasy regular season, you are going to be in an extremely tough place as the weeks progress.

There is no time like now to make sure the right moves are made on your teams, specifically as the bigger bye weeks – Weeks 9 through 11 where half the league goes on bye – start to creep up on you. The players you look at today will help you in a few weeks.

With only the Eagles and Buccaneers on the bye week this week, there isn’t a lot that will be missing, but with guys like Nick Foles, LeSean McCoy, Jeremy Maclin, Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans sitting this week due to the bye there are certainly a few playmakers that can undoubtedly be missing from your roster.

As always, check out these players that shockingly are still owned in less than 25% of ESPN leagues. For those of you not in ESPN leagues, I’ve included their ownership percentages in Yahoo and NFL leagues in that order. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football: Week 7 Start/Sit

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Keenan Allen
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Below are the guys I like or dislike in Week 7 compared to the other experts on FantasyPros.com. I’m focusing on guys that are actually on that start/sit bubble in 12-team leagues. For quarterbacks and tight ends, that means I’m focusing on guys I have on one side of 12th at the position while the consensus is on the other side. For running backs and receivers that means guys I have on one side of 24th at the position while the consensus is on the other side. For example, there’s no need to tell you I’m higher on Eddie Lacy when I have him ranked #8 and the expert consensus rank (ECR) has him ranked #13. Both rankings have him in the top 24 and tell you to start him.

If you have specific start/sit questions, leave them in the comments or hit me up on Twitter @TheRealTAL.

Start ‘Em

Jeremy Hill / at Indianapolis / ECR: 28 / My rank: 24

Among running backs who have taken 25 percent or more of their team’s snaps, Hill leads the league in fantasy points per snap (per ProFootballFocus). The reason everyone else has him ranked as a non-starter is because he doesn’t get enough snaps to really capitalize on that efficiency. He’s a clear backup to Giovani Bernard. But he gets enough work to be a flex play or possibly an RB2. Last week he took a third of Cincinnati’s snaps. If he gets about that much work against Indy, he should be worth starting. The Colts are next to last in 4for4.com’s schedule adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to running backs.

If you don’t think Hill is a top 24 running back, who would you put ahead of him? Here are the guys I have ranked just behind Hill: C.J. Spiller, Trent Richardson, Steven Jackson, Zac Stacy and  Isaiah Crowell. That’s a big bag of meh. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 7 Tight Ends

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It is on to Week 7 of Daily Fantasy Football at DraftKings. I’m back again this week to offer my picks for the Tight End position at DraftKings. The Saints are back, but the lead dog may be down this week. And the rest of the field doesn’t look too attractive. So, let’s see what there is to choose from for the Week 7 DFS slate.

This is a great week to check out DraftKings and pick up a new way to play fantasy football.

DraftKings Tight End Recommendations

If you’ve never played on DraftKings before, you can get a deposit bonus by signing up. And there are different options to pick from at DraftKings for any skill level.

Also, a gentle reminder on the scoring for Tight Ends – this is a PPR site so remember that when selecting players. The full for scoring for Tight Ends is at the end of this column.

Tight Ends can also be used in the flex position at DraftKings. However, with the entire world of RBs and WRs at your disposal, it would be unlikely you’d have to head to the TEs to pick up a flex play. Jimmy Graham is always in play as a flex option.

Let’s take a look at a couple of options at each price point. For those who are new to the column, I’ll generally look at a couple of options in each pricing tier broken out based on the socioeconomic status of 1970s sitcom families. And I’ll always cover Jimmy Graham. [Read more...]

2014 Fantasy Football: Week 7 Thursday Night Football Preview

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Thursday October 16, 2014
New York Jets @ New England Patriots

This Thursday we have bitter rivals heading in very different directions. The Patriots are back atop the AFC East, where they so often find themselves, while the Jets are stumbling through a 1-5 season. The Jets needs a complete overhaul but appear content with the disastrous product with which they are tormenting their fans. The Jets usually play the Pats hard, but we do not see them being overly competetive in this game. The defensive line may help them hang around, but they will just be delaying the inevitable. Hopefully we are gifted another moment by these two teams on Thursday night like we were with Mark Sanchez‘s infamous butt-fumble. We can only hope.

New York Jets: Key Players

QB Geno Smith

If ever we were to completely exclude the QB position for a team in this preview, it would be right here. Smith has been nothing shy of a nightmare this season. He’s a turnover machine with no weapons, playing for coaches that clearly do not know how to run an NFL offense. With the occasional exception of some rushing value, Smith is probably the worst starting QB in the NFL.
Verdict: Sit Smith. He isn’t even the best QB on his own team and everybody knows it. One of these games will be his last. [Read more...]